ZS

T3

Zscaler, Inc.

Next est. report · AMC

Loading…
Loading chart…
Overview

Zscaler, Inc. delivers cloud-based Zero Trust security, providing a SASE platform that secures users, cloud workloads, and branches. Key solutions like ZIA and

Zscaler, Inc. delivers cloud-based Zero Trust security, providing a SASE platform that secures users, cloud workloads, and branches. Key solutions like ZIA and ZPA protect data and prevent threats. The company is rapidly expanding its offerings to secure AI agents and models with new "Security for AI" and "Agentic SecOps" solutions. Americas accounts for 57% of revenue, serving diverse global enterprises, with non-seat-based solutions driving significant growth.

Key Inputs And Sourcing

1. Memory (DRAM, NAND)

component · DRAM · Global (primarily Asia) · unknown

Source Higher prices and tighter availability for memory, used in data center infrastructure and Zero Trust Branch appliances.

Confidence: high

2. Processors (CPUs, GPUs)

component · CPU · Global (primarily Asia) · unknown

Source Higher prices and tighter availability for processors, used in data center infrastructure and Zero Trust Branch appliances.

Confidence: high

3. Storage (SSDs, HDDs)

component · SSD · Global (primarily Asia) · unknown

Source Higher prices and tighter availability for storage, used in data center infrastructure and Zero Trust Branch appliances.

Confidence: high

4. Network Bandwidth/Internet Connectivity

other · Global · unknown

Source Zscaler operates a distributed in-line security cloud across over 160 public exchanges and more than 150 data centers globally, requiring substantial bandwidth.

Confidence: medium

5. Data Center Colocation/Power

energy · Global · unknown

Source Operating a global network of data centers incurs significant colocation and power costs.

Confidence: medium

6. Personnel (Network Operations/Support)

labor · Global · unknown

Source Implied by operating a global security cloud and providing customer support; workforce restructuring indicates labor is a significant cost.

Confidence: medium

Industry Publications

  • Gartner (gartner.com) — Provides critical market research, Magic Quadrants, and competitive analysis for cybersecurity, cloud security, and SASE, influencing enterprise purchasing decisions and offering insights into Zscaler's market position and product strategy.
  • Forrester (forrester.com) — Offers in-depth research, Wave reports, and strategic guidance on Zero Trust, SASE, and AI security, providing valuable benchmarks and competitive intelligence relevant to Zscaler's offerings and market perception.
  • SC Media (scmagazine.com) — A leading cybersecurity trade publication covering news, product reviews, and industry trends, offering insights into the broader threat landscape, regulatory changes, and competitive developments directly impacting Zscaler.
  • Dark Reading (darkreading.com) — Provides news, analysis, and research on cybersecurity threats, vulnerabilities, and defense strategies, including specific coverage of cloud security, AI security, and Zero Trust, which are core to Zscaler's business.
  • SecurityWeek (securityweek.com) — Delivers breaking news, expert analysis, and insights on enterprise security, cyberattacks, and security technologies, including dedicated sections on cloud security and emerging AI security challenges that Zscaler addresses.

Economic Data Watch

1. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) — National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA)

Metric/field Information Processing Equipment and Software: Nonresidential Private Fixed Investment (B008RC1Q027SBEA)

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters Reflects business investment in software and IT equipment, a key driver for Zscaler's sales and platform adoption.

Signal to watch Increasing investment indicates a stronger spending environment for Zscaler's solutions.

Confidence: high

2. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) — Interest Rates

Metric/field Federal Funds Effective Rate (DFF)

Cadence daily

Why it matters Influences borrowing costs for Zscaler and its customers, impacting investment decisions and CapEx.

Signal to watch Stable or decreasing rates may encourage greater enterprise investment in cybersecurity infrastructure.

Confidence: high

3. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) — Consumer Price Index

Metric/field Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average (CPIAUCSL)

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Measures inflation, affecting Zscaler's operational costs (CapEx, labor) and customer budgets for IT spending.

Signal to watch Decreasing inflation could alleviate cost pressures for Zscaler and improve customer budget flexibility.

Confidence: high

4. FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) — Gross Domestic Product

Metric/field Real Gross Domestic Product (GDPC1)

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters A broad indicator of overall economic health, influencing general enterprise spending on IT and security solutions.

Signal to watch Sustained GDP growth suggests a healthy economic environment conducive to enterprise technology investments.

Confidence: high

5. BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) — Current Employment Statistics (CES)

Metric/field Total Nonfarm Payrolls (CES0000000001)

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Reflects the overall employment situation, impacting the number of users Zscaler's customers need to secure and manage.

Signal to watch Consistent growth in payrolls indicates an expanding workforce, potentially increasing the demand for user-based security solutions.

Confidence: high

Free Alt Data Watch

1. Google Trends — Search Interest

Metric/field Search interest index for 'Zscaler Zero Trust'

Cadence daily

Why it matters Indicates public and business interest in Zscaler's core offering and the Zero Trust security paradigm.

Signal to watch Rising search interest suggests increasing awareness and potential demand for Zscaler's solutions.

Confidence: high

2. GitHub — Open-source Project Metrics

Metric/field Star count for 'LangChain' repository

Cadence daily

Why it matters LangChain is a prominent AI agent framework; its adoption signals the growth of the agentic AI ecosystem that Zscaler aims to secure.

Signal to watch Increasing star count indicates growing developer interest and adoption of AI agent frameworks, suggesting a larger market for AI security.

Confidence: medium

3. Reddit — Subreddit Activity

Metric/field Number of posts/comments in r/cybersecurity mentioning 'AI security' or 'Agentic AI'

Cadence daily

Why it matters Provides insights into community sentiment, emerging concerns, and discussion volume around key cybersecurity trends relevant to Zscaler.

Signal to watch Increased discussion volume indicates growing industry focus and potential demand for solutions addressing these areas.

Confidence: medium

4. LinkedIn (Public Profiles/Job Search) — Job Postings

Metric/field Number of job postings by Zscaler for 'AI Security Engineer' or 'Zero Trust Architect'

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Indicates Zscaler's internal investment and hiring trends in critical growth areas like AI security and Zero Trust.

Signal to watch Consistent or increasing job postings suggest continued investment and expansion in strategic product areas.

Confidence: high

5. NVD (National Vulnerability Database) — CVE (Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures)

Metric/field Number of new CVEs categorized as 'AI-related' or 'Zero Trust bypass'

Cadence daily

Why it matters Reflects the evolving threat landscape and the emergence of new vulnerabilities that Zscaler's solutions are designed to address.

Signal to watch An increase in such CVEs highlights the growing need for advanced cybersecurity solutions like Zscaler's.

Confidence: high

Paid Alt Data Watch

1. Gartner (or similar market research firm) — Market Research Report

Metric/field Enterprise Adoption Rate of Zero Trust Security for AI Workloads (percentage)

Cadence annually

Why it matters Directly tracks the market's embrace of Zero Trust for AI, a key growth driver for Zscaler.

Signal to watch Accelerating adoption rates indicate a strong and expanding market for Zscaler's AI security offerings.

Confidence: high

2. Thinknum Alternative Data — Job Postings Data

Metric/field Zscaler (ZS) Global Job Postings (total count)

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Provides insights into Zscaler's hiring activity, indicating growth, expansion, and resource allocation.

Signal to watch Consistent or increasing job postings suggest robust company growth and investment in future capabilities.

Confidence: high

3. Revelio Labs — Employee Data

Metric/field Zscaler (ZS) Employee Churn Rate (percentage)

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Offers insights into employee satisfaction and retention, particularly relevant given recent sales leadership changes and potential impact on productivity.

Signal to watch A stable or decreasing churn rate indicates improved employee sentiment and operational stability.

Confidence: medium

4. Similarweb — Website Traffic Analytics

Metric/field Zscaler.com Website Traffic (unique visitors, monthly)

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Measures interest in Zscaler's products and services, reflecting marketing effectiveness and potential customer engagement.

Signal to watch Increasing unique visitors suggests growing brand awareness and potential customer pipeline.

Confidence: high

5. Recorded Future (or similar threat intelligence platform) — Cyber Threat Intelligence

Metric/field Volume of AI-powered cyberattacks (count, monthly)

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Directly tracks the evolving threat landscape, validating the urgent need for Zscaler's advanced cybersecurity solutions.

Signal to watch An increasing volume of AI-powered attacks underscores the critical demand for Zscaler's AI-era security platform.

Confidence: high

Search Keywords Brand Product

  • Zscaler Zero Trust Exchange
  • Zscaler Internet Access
  • Zscaler Private Access
  • Zscaler Digital Experience
  • AI Protect
  • AI Guard
  • Zero Trust Branch
  • Zero Trust Cloud
  • Z-Flex
  • Project AI-Guardian
  • Zero Trust SASE
  • AI cybersecurity
  • agentic security
  • Zero Trust architecture
  • cloud security
  • data security
  • SASE solution
  • cybersecurity platform
  • AI agent governance
  • threat intelligence
  • managed detection and response
  • browser security
  • Mythos

Search Keywords Event Phrases

  • Zscaler earnings
  • Symmetry Systems acquisition
  • SquareX acquisition
  • Zenith Live

Search Keywords Policy Regulatory

  • Zero Trust mandates
  • AI governance frameworks
What They Do (Plain English & Analogies)
Zscaler is a cybersecurity company that acts like a highly secure, cloud-based bodyguard for businesses. Instead of building walls around a company's internal network (like old-fashioned firewalls), Zscaler operates on a 'Zero Trust' principle. This means it doesn't automatically trust anyone or anything, even if they're inside the company's network. Imagine a bouncer at a very exclusive, hidden club. This bouncer doesn't just check your ID at the entrance; they verify your credentials for every single room, hallway, or even a specific conversation you try to access inside the club. What's more, the club itself is invisible from the outside world – attackers can't even find it to try and break in. Zscaler applies this concept to users, cloud applications, branch offices, and even AI agents, ensuring that only authorized people and machines can access specific applications and data, and preventing attackers from moving freely if they somehow get a foothold. Their platform helps discover and manage AI assets, enforce safe access, and inspect interactions in real-time to stop data leaks and attacks.
Very Brief History
Zscaler, Inc. was incorporated in 2007, initially under the name SafeChannel, Inc., before rebranding to Zscaler, Inc. in August 2008. The company pioneered the Zero Trust security architecture. Over the years, it has expanded its Zero Trust Exchange platform from securing users to also protecting branches, cloud workloads, and connected IoT/OT devices. More recently, in February 2026, Zscaler acquired SquareX to extend Zero Trust capabilities into the browser. In May 2026, Zscaler announced its intent to acquire Symmetry Systems, a company focused on identity mapping and data access for AI security, to bolster its offerings in securing AI agents. Zscaler also acquired Red Canary in prior years, with the deal closing in August 2025.
"Street Stereotype"
Zscaler is generally perceived as a leader and innovator in cloud security, particularly with its Zero Trust SASE (Secure Access Service Edge) solution, which is seen as crucial for the 'AI era'. Investors and analysts recognize its strong growth potential, evidenced by consistent Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and an expanding customer base. However, there's recent market focus on sales leadership turnover and its potential impact on new logo acquisition and future ARR growth, leading to a more prudent outlook for fiscal year 2027. The company is also noted for its dependence on physical components, which exposes it to hardware cost inflation and increased capital expenditures, raising concerns about free cash flow margins. The stock experienced a significant sell-off after its Q3 2026 earnings due to lower-than-expected fiscal 2027 growth forecasts, increased CapEx guidance, and sales leadership departures, despite strong Q3 performance.
Subsidiaries On Linked In*
  • Red Canary — Acquired by Zscaler, provides managed detection and response.; LinkedIn: red-canary
Customer Sectors & Example Clients
Zscaler serves a wide range of customer sectors including aviation and transportation, conglomerates, consumer goods and retail, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media and communications, public sector and education, as well as technology and telecommunications services industries. Specific examples mentioned in the transcript include a Fortune 500 financial technology company, a federal agency, a leading healthcare system, a leading healthcare technology company, and a large automotive manufacturer.
New Customers / Segments They'Re Targeting
Zscaler is actively targeting the lower end of the enterprise market, specifically organizations with between 2,000 and 10,000 user seats, where they currently have limited coverage. The company is also aggressively expanding its focus to secure AI agents and AI applications, viewing this as a critical new segment. This includes securing interactions with public AI apps and custom-built AI solutions. Furthermore, Zscaler is driving the adoption of its 'Zero Trust Everywhere' initiative, aiming to expand its platform across users, cloud workloads, and branches for customers who initially only secured users.
Supply Chain And Sourcing Geographies
Zscaler purchases equipment for its data centers and Zero Trust Branch appliances. The company has observed increasing memory, storage, and processor prices and availability issues, which it attributes to demand from AI data centers. To mitigate these costs, Zscaler implemented a price increase on its branch appliance earlier in the calendar year and is opportunistically procuring data center equipment to lock in current prices ahead of potential future increases. While the company operates a global network of over 160 public exchanges and more than 150 data centers globally, specific sourcing geographies for its hardware components are not explicitly detailed in the provided information, beyond the general industry context of global hardware supply chains.
Sales Geographies And Expansion Plans
Zscaler currently sells its products globally. In Q3 fiscal 2026, the Americas accounted for 56% of revenue, growing approximately 31% year-over-year. EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) represented 28% of revenue, growing approximately 16%, and APJ (Asia Pacific and Japan) contributed 16% of revenue, growing approximately 23%. While there are no explicit plans to expand into entirely new geographies, management has indicated a focus on improving execution in EMEA to boost its growth. The company is also enhancing its go-to-market engine by deepening partnerships with global system integrators (GSIs) and expanding its cloud marketplace motion to reach more customers within existing regions. Zscaler has also launched dedicated cloud regions in Saudi Arabia and the UAE to meet data residency rules and has seen recent expansions in Southeast Asia and Latin America for banking digitalization.
How Key Themes May Help/Hurt
The buildout of the 'Agentic Utilities '26: Governance & Zerotrust' theme is highly beneficial for Zscaler. The emergence of autonomous AI agents as a new and potentially weakest link in cybersecurity, coupled with frontier AI models rapidly discovering vulnerabilities, creates an urgent and unprecedented demand for Zscaler's Zero Trust architecture. Zscaler's strategic expansion to secure AI agents, including the acquisition of Symmetry Systems for identity mapping and data access, directly addresses the core needs of Agentic Governance by providing foundational visibility and control over how AI agents interact with applications and data. Its AI Protect solution, which offers AI asset discovery, guardrails, and continuous red teaming, is purpose-built to manage and secure agent behavior, prevent data leaks, and stop attacks like prompt injection. The Zero Trust Exchange acts as a real-time enforcement layer for agentic traffic, ensuring continuous verification of every agent request. This aligns perfectly with the theme's emphasis on Zero Trust for agentic workflows, precise usage metering, and real-time security enforcement. The company expects AI and Mythos-like frontier models to be one of its strongest tailwinds ever. However, Zscaler could be hurt if the pace of enterprise adoption of comprehensive AI agent security solutions is slower than anticipated, if new and unforeseen agentic threats bypass current security measures, or if the complexity of integrating these new governance solutions with existing IT infrastructure leads to significant deployment hurdles for customers.

3 Main Long-Term Bull Details

  1. AI as a Major Tailwind and Catalyst: The proliferation of powerful AI models and the emergence of AI agents as a new, vulnerable attack surface are creating urgent and unprecedented demand for Zscaler's Zero Trust SASE architecture. Zscaler is positioning itself as the 'cybersecurity platform for the AI era' with solutions like AI Protect, which saw bookings cross $100 million, and strategic acquisitions like Symmetry Systems to secure AI agents, anticipating AI to be one of its strongest tailwinds ever.
  2. Architectural Superiority and Scale: Zscaler's cloud-native Zero Trust Exchange fundamentally differentiates itself from firewall-based solutions by hiding applications from the internet and eliminating lateral movement, offering far superior cybersecurity protection. Its massive scale, spanning over 160 public exchanges and processing more than 500 billion transactions daily, provides unparalleled high-fidelity telemetry data that fuels its AI-powered security capabilities.
  3. Significant Untapped Market and Platform Expansion ('Zero Trust Everywhere'): Zscaler currently serves only 4,500 out of a potential 20,000 enterprises in its primary target market, indicating substantial room for new customer acquisition. Its 'Zero Trust Everywhere' strategy, expanding beyond users to branches, cloud workloads, and AI agents, drives deeper penetration and upsell opportunities within its existing base, as evidenced by strong growth in Zero Trust Branch (ARR tripled YoY) and Zero Trust Cloud solutions, with over 700 'Zero Trust Everywhere' enterprises.

3 Main Long-Term Bear Details

  1. Sales Leadership Turnover and New Logo Growth Challenges: Recent departures of two sales leaders and a 'tempered approach' to new logo contributions for fiscal year 2027 raise concerns about potential short-term disruption to sales execution and the company's ability to effectively expand its customer base, despite a strong overall sales engine.
  2. Increasing Hardware Costs and Capital Expenditure: Zscaler's reliance on physical components for its data centers and Zero Trust Branch appliances exposes it to rising memory, storage, and processor prices, driven by AI data center demand. This is leading to an upward revision of CapEx, expected to be in the high single digits as a percentage of revenue for fiscal 2026 and to increase by up to 200 basis points in fiscal 2027, which could pressure free cash flow margins.
  3. Decelerating ARR Growth and Valuation Risks: Zscaler's guidance implies a significant deceleration in net new ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) to approximately 9.5% for fiscal year 2026, with fiscal year 2027 total ARR and revenue growth projected at 16-17%. This slowdown, coupled with a relatively high Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio compared to the industry average, introduces valuation risks, especially if growth reacceleration is not sustained in a challenging macro environment.
Competitors And Differentiation
Zscaler operates in a competitive market with rivals including traditional firewall vendors and other Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) providers such as Netskope, Palo Alto Prisma Access, Cloudflare One, Microsoft Entra, Forcepoint ONE, Cato Networks, and Fortinet FortiSASE. Zscaler differentiates itself primarily through its architectural approach. It offers a cloud-native Zero Trust SASE solution that fundamentally differs from firewall-based SASE architectures by hiding applications and data behind its Zero Trust Exchange, making them invisible from the internet and eliminating the attack surface. This architecture also eliminates lateral movement of attackers, reducing the blast radius of potential breaches. Zscaler emphasizes its 'Zero Trust Everywhere' strategy, providing a singular Zero Trust platform across users, cloud workloads, branches, IoT/OT devices, and now AI agents, which it claims is unique in the industry. The company also highlights the scale of its cloud-native Zero Trust Exchange, which is the largest distributed in-line security platform globally, spanning over 160 public exchanges and processing more than 500 billion transactions per day, providing superior telemetry data for its AI-powered security capabilities. Its focus on securing AI agents and applications with solutions like AI Protect and the acquisition of Symmetry Systems further distinguishes it in the evolving cybersecurity landscape.
Recent Performance & What The Market'S Focused On
Zscaler delivered strong Q3 fiscal 2026 results, with Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growing 25% year-over-year to $3.5 billion and non-GAAP operating margin reaching an all-time high of 23%. Revenue for the quarter was $850 million, up 25% year-over-year. The company saw significant momentum in emerging product areas, with AI Protect bookings crossing $100 million over the past 12 months, data security ARR crossing $500 million (up over 30% year-over-year), and Zero Trust Branch ARR approximately tripling year-over-year. Despite these strong results, the market reacted negatively, with the stock plunging over 30% immediately after the earnings release. This was primarily due to a lower-than-expected preliminary fiscal 2027 revenue growth forecast of 16-17% (below Street expectations), increased CapEx guidance (high single digits as a percentage of revenue for fiscal 2026, and up to 200 basis points higher for fiscal 2027), and the departure of two sales leaders. The market is currently focused on whether AI-driven demand can generate enough growth to justify the increased infrastructure investments and if Zscaler can effectively mitigate the impact of sales leadership transitions and the projected deceleration in ARR growth.
Revenue Segments And Estimated Mix
  • Americas Revenue — Mix: 56%; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: Up approximately 31% year-over-year
  • EMEA Revenue — Mix: 28%; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: Up approximately 16% year-over-year
  • APJ Revenue — Mix: 16%; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: Up approximately 23% year-over-year
  • Non-seat-based metered usage solutions (New ACV) — Mix: Just over 30%; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: ARR grew more than 100% year-over-year
  • Data Security ARR — Mix: n/m; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: Crossed $500 million ARR, up over 30% year-over-year
  • Zero Trust Branch ARR — Mix: n/m; Source: Q3 2026 earnings transcript; Trend: Approximately tripled year-over-year
Product Brands
  • Zscaler Internet Access (ZIA)
  • Zscaler Private Access (ZPA)
  • Zscaler Digital Experience (ZDX)
  • Zscaler Cloud Security Posture Management
  • Zscaler Cloud Workload Segmentation
  • Zscaler Central Authority
  • Zscaler Enforcement Node
  • Zscaler Log Servers
  • AI Protect
  • AI Guard
  • Zero Trust Branch
  • Zero Trust Cloud
  • Z-Flex
  • Project AI-Guardian
  • Red Canary
  • Symmetry Systems
  • SquareX
Bull / Bear Details

Zscaler's cloud-native Zero Trust SASE platform is increasingly critical as the cybersecurity solution for the AI era, driven by urgent demand to secure AI agen

Thesis

Zscaler's cloud-native Zero Trust SASE platform is increasingly critical as the cybersecurity solution for the AI era, driven by urgent demand to secure AI agents and models, and reinforced by strong AI Protect bookings. While the company delivered accelerating net new ARR in Q4 and improved sales productivity, it faces near-term headwinds from guided ARR growth deceleration and elevated CapEx, making the investment case balanced as of 2026-09-08.

Bull case

  • AI is rapidly becoming Zscaler's largest tailwind, driving urgent demand for Zero Trust everywhere, data security, and security for AI solutions. Security for AI bookings increased over 50% sequentially in Q4, with new offerings like Agentic SecOps and Zero Trust Exchange for agents poised to scale, demonstrating strong market traction and customer adoption for securing the evolving AI landscape.

  • Zscaler's architectural superiority with its cloud-native Zero Trust Exchange provides unmatched protection against AI-amplified threats by making applications invisible and eliminating lateral movement. Operating the world's largest distributed in-line security cloud, processing over 750 billion transactions daily, provides high-fidelity telemetry that continuously enhances its AI-powered security capabilities, a key differentiator.

  • The company continues to capitalize on a significant untapped market, expanding its 'Zero Trust Everywhere' strategy to over 950 enterprises in Q4. Strong momentum in non-seat-based solutions, contributing 30% of new and upsell ACV and growing over 100% year-over-year, coupled with the success of the Z-Flex program, drives deeper platform penetration and upsell opportunities.

Bear case

  • Zscaler's fiscal year 2027 guidance implies a deceleration in total ARR growth to 16.6-17.4% year-over-year, despite Q4's accelerated net new ARR (excluding Red Canary) of 17%. This outlook, coupled with the ongoing sales leadership transition expected to play out in the first half of fiscal 2027 and no net new ARR contribution from Red Canary, raises concerns about sustained growth.

  • The company faces persistent pressure from increasing memory, storage, and processor prices, driven by demand from AI data centers. This is expected to keep CapEx elevated in fiscal year 2027, projected in the low teens as a percentage of revenue, which will continue to pressure free cash flow margins despite strong operating performance.

  • While Zscaler demonstrates competitive wins, the cybersecurity market remains intensely competitive. The pace of enterprise adoption for comprehensive Zero Trust SASE, especially for newer areas like AI agent security, could be slower than anticipated if customers are hesitant to fully transition from legacy systems. Additionally, a workforce restructuring affecting 3% of employees could introduce short-term operational disruption.

Bull / Bear Case
Bear Case
Zscaler's fiscal year 2027 guidance implies a deceleration in total ARR growth to 16.6-17.4% year-over-year, despite Q4's accelerated net new ARR (excluding Red Canary) of 17%. This outlook, coupled with an ongoing sales leadership transition expected to play out in the first half of fiscal 2027 and no net new ARR contribution from Red Canary, raises concerns about sustained growth. The company faces persistent pressure from increasing memory, storage, and processor prices, driven by demand from AI data centers, which is expected to keep CapEx elevated in fiscal year 2027 (low teens as a percentage of revenue), pressuring free cash flow margins. While Zscaler demonstrates competitive wins, the cybersecurity market remains intensely competitive, and the pace of enterprise adoption for comprehensive Zero Trust SASE, especially for newer AI agent security, could be slower than anticipated. A workforce restructuring affecting 3% of employees could also introduce short-term operational disruption.
Bull Case
Zscaler is strongly positioned as the cybersecurity platform for the AI era, with AI rapidly becoming its largest tailwind, driving urgent demand for Zero Trust everywhere, data security, and security for AI solutions. Security for AI bookings increased over 50% sequentially in Q4, and new offerings like Agentic SecOps and Zero Trust Exchange for agents are poised to scale, demonstrating strong market traction. The company's cloud-native Zero Trust Exchange offers architectural superiority, providing unmatched protection against AI-amplified threats by making applications invisible and eliminating lateral movement. Its massive scale, processing over 750 billion transactions daily, provides high-fidelity telemetry that continuously enhances its AI-powered security capabilities. Zscaler is capitalizing on a significant untapped market, expanding its 'Zero Trust Everywhere' strategy to over 950 enterprises in Q4, and seeing strong momentum in non-seat-based solutions, which grew over 100% year-over-year.
More Compelling & Why
Bear. Despite a recent pullback, Zscaler's valuation remains elevated with an EV/EBITDA of 146.43x, significantly above the software industry median of 10.44x. The strongest argument for the bear case is the guided deceleration in total ARR growth for fiscal year 2027 to 16.6-17.4%, a notable step down from the 25% growth in fiscal 2026, coupled with elevated CapEx impacting free cash flow margins. My view would flip to bullish if Zscaler demonstrates a clear reacceleration of net new ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) beyond the current guidance in the first half of fiscal 2027, indicating that AI tailwinds are materially offsetting other headwinds and leading to upward revisions in the FY27 outlook.
Key Factors5 rows
Key FactorWhy It MattersWhat To WatchWhat It SignalsWhere/How To TrackFree Alt DataPaid Alt Data
Number of "Zero Trust Everywhere" enterprisesThis metric signifies Zscaler's success in expanding its platform beyond users to branches and cloud workloads, driving deeper customer penetration and consolidation onto its comprehensive Zero Trust SASE solution. It's a key indicator of long-term revenue growth and customer stickiness.The reported number of "Zero Trust Everywhere" enterprises in subsequent quarters. The current figure is "more than 950" (up from over 700 in Q3).Bullish: Continued sequential growth in the number of "Zero Trust Everywhere" enterprises, demonstrating successful platform expansion and customer consolidation. Bearish: Stagnation or deceleration in the sequential growth of "Zero Trust Everywhere" enterprises.Zscaler's quarterly earnings call transcripts and shareholder letters.LinkedIn: Job postings for "Zscaler Zero Trust" or "SASE implementation" roles at large enterprises.Apptopia/Similarweb: Web traffic to Zscaler's "Zero Trust Everywhere" solution pages, indicating interest.
Sequential growth in Security for AI bookings and pipelineThis metric directly reflects the market demand and Zscaler's execution in monetizing the "AI inflection point" for cybersecurity. Strong growth here validates the company's strategic focus on AI security and its ability to capture a significant portion of this emerging market.Future announcements on sequential bookings growth for Security for AI, and updates on the pipeline growth. Specifically, watch if sequential bookings growth continues to exceed 50% and if the pipeline growth remains strong (e.g., above 75% quarter-over-quarter).Bullish: Continued sequential bookings growth above 50% and sustained high pipeline growth, indicating robust demand and successful sales execution. Bearish: Significant deceleration in sequential bookings growth or a decline in pipeline growth for Security for AI.Zscaler's quarterly earnings call transcripts and shareholder letters.Industry reports on AI security market size and growth, news articles on enterprise AI adoption challenges.Gartner/Forrester: Market share reports for AI security solutions, indicating Zscaler's position.
Capital Expenditure (CapEx) as a percentage of revenueRising hardware costs due to AI data center demand are increasing CapEx, directly impacting free cash flow and profitability. This metric is critical for assessing financial efficiency and margin pressure, especially given the "Expensive Tech" theme.Fiscal 2027 CapEx guidance (expected to remain elevated in the low teens as a percentage of revenue) and actual CapEx reported in subsequent quarters.Bullish: CapEx as a percentage of revenue remaining within or below the guided low teens for FY27, indicating effective cost management and mitigating margin pressure. Bearish: CapEx as a percentage of revenue exceeding the low teens for FY27, signaling greater margin pressure and lower free cash flow than anticipated.Zscaler's quarterly earnings call transcripts and shareholder letters.Industry reports on memory/processor pricing trends (e.g., DRAMeXchange, IC Insights).Supply chain intelligence platforms (e.g., S&P Global Market Intelligence) for component pricing.
Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth, excluding Red CanaryThis metric is crucial as it reflects Zscaler's organic growth and ability to acquire new business, a key concern given prior sales leadership changes. An acceleration indicates stronger underlying business momentum and successful sales execution.Q1 FY27 Net New ARR (excluding Red Canary) relative to the expected 15% of total FY27 net new ARR, and any updates to the full year fiscal 2027 total ARR growth guidance (currently 16.6% to 17.4%).Bullish: Net new ARR growth (ex-Red Canary) exceeding expectations for Q1 FY27 or an upward revision to the FY27 outlook, indicating stronger underlying business momentum and successful sales execution. Bearish: Further deceleration or downward revision to the FY27 outlook.Zscaler's quarterly earnings call transcripts and shareholder letters.Public sector contract awards (e.g., USASpending.gov for federal contracts) mentioning Zscaler.BamSEC/Sentieo: Analysis of Zscaler's 10-Q/K filings for detailed ARR breakdowns.
Launch and initial customer adoption of Agentic SecOps solutionThis solution directly addresses the critical need for AI-native security operations, leveraging AI agents to detect and respond to threats at machine speed. Its success validates Zscaler's leadership in securing the evolving AI threat landscape and is a key driver for future growth in the "Agentic Utilities" theme.Announcements regarding the general availability, early customer wins, and initial revenue contribution or pipeline growth for the Agentic SecOps solution in subsequent earnings calls. Specifically, watch for commentary on its contribution in 2H FY27 and FY28.Bullish: Strong early customer adoption, significant pipeline build-out, and positive management commentary on its contribution to ARR in 2H FY27 and beyond. Bearish: Slower-than-anticipated uptake, limited customer wins, or delays in general availability.Company webcasts (e.g., September 9 webcast for launch), earnings call transcripts, investor day presentations (October 6), and company press releases.Google Trends: "Zscaler Agentic SecOps" search volume, cybersecurity news outlets for product reviews/mentions.Thinknum: Job postings for "Agentic SecOps" or related roles at Zscaler, indicating hiring for this new product.
Key Reported Metrics, Reratings Triggers & Results3 rows

This metric highlights Zscaler's successful expansion beyond user-based monetization, indicating strong adoption of its broader platform for branches, workloads

Upcoming print · 2026-11-24

Key reported metrics
MetricLast periodWhy it matters
Non-seat-based metered usage solutions ARR growthmore than 100%

This metric highlights Zscaler's successful expansion beyond user-based monetization, indicating strong adoption of its broader platform for branches, workloads, and AI, which is crucial for future revenue diversification and growth.

Capital Expenditure (CapEx) as a percentage of revenueFY26 CapEx was 8% of revenue. FY27 CapEx guidance is in the low teens as a percentage of revenue.

Rising hardware costs due to AI data center demand are increasing CapEx, directly impacting Zscaler's free cash flow and profitability. This metric is critical for assessing financial efficiency and margin pressure.

Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth (excluding Red Canary)$232 million (17% y/y growth)

This metric is crucial for Zscaler's organic growth trajectory, reflecting its ability to acquire new business and expand within existing customers, especially after recent sales leadership changes. Investors will closely watch for stabilization and reacceleration.

Last reported · 2026-09-03

Key reported metricsRerating thresholdsEarnings results
MetricLast periodWhy it mattersWhat's needed for reratingRerating contextEarnings dateActual reportedHit target?Notes
Data Security ARR Growth30%

Data Security is a high-growth segment, crossing $500 million ARR, and is critical for Zscaler's platform expansion and consolidation strategy, especially with accelerating AI adoption. Continued strong growth signals market traction.

For the upcoming earnings report on 2026-09-03, Zscaler's Data Security ARR Growth needs to accelerate to above 32%. This would exceed the previously reported growth of over 30% year-over-year in Q3 2026 and signal strong execution in a critical, high-growth segment, particularly given recent market caution around overall revenue guidance and sales leadership changes.

Achieving Data Security ARR Growth above 32% would validate Zscaler's leadership in AI-powered Zero Trust security and successful monetization of the expanding AI attack surface. This would offset concerns about overall ARR deceleration and drive a positive re-evaluation of its growth trajectory and competitive advantage, crucial for a higher rerating.

Not explicitly reported for Q4 2026.

No

The company did not explicitly report a specific year-over-year growth rate for Data Security ARR in Q4 2026. While management highlighted that data security 'drove a big part of our business' and was included in 70% of security for AI deals, a precise growth figure above the 32% rerating trigger was not provided in the earnings transcript.

Capital Expenditure (CapEx) as a Percentage of Revenue5%

Rising hardware costs due to AI data center demand are increasing CapEx, directly impacting free cash flow and profitability. This metric is critical for assessing financial efficiency and margin pressure.

For Zscaler's stock to rerate higher, the company needs to report its fiscal year 2026 Capital Expenditure (CapEx) as a Percentage of Revenue at or below the current 5%. Additionally, the fiscal year 2027 CapEx guidance must project an increase of less than 100 basis points (i.e., less than 1%) from the fiscal year 2026 level, significantly beating current expectations.

Lower-than-expected CapEx demonstrates effective cost management and mitigates concerns about rising hardware prices impacting free cash flow and profitability. This signals improved financial efficiency, crucial for a growth stock, and alleviates a key bear point for investors.

FY26 CapEx was 8% of revenue. FY27 CapEx guidance is in the low teens as a percentage of revenue.

No

Zscaler reported fiscal year 2026 CapEx at 8% of revenue, which is above the 5% target for a rerating. Furthermore, the company guided for fiscal year 2027 CapEx to remain elevated in the 'low teens' as a percentage of revenue, indicating an increase significantly greater than the less than 100 basis points required from the FY26 level. This miss aligns with the bear point regarding rising hardware costs impacting free cash flow margins.

Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth (Excluding Red Canary)14%

This metric is crucial as it reflects Zscaler's organic growth and ability to acquire new business, a key concern given recent sales leadership changes and decelerating guidance. Investors will watch for signs of stabilization or improvement.

For the upcoming Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings report, Zscaler's Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth (Excluding Red Canary) needs to significantly exceed the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5%. Ideally, it should approach or surpass the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in Q3 FY26.

Exceeding the 9.5% organic net new ARR growth target would signal successful sales execution and stronger underlying business momentum, alleviating concerns about recent sales leadership departures and decelerating growth. This would validate Zscaler's competitive position in the AI-driven cybersecurity market and demonstrate its ability to monetize its Zero Trust SASE platform, potentially leading to upward revisions in the fiscal 2027 outlook and improved valuation.

$232 million (17% y/y growth)

Yes

Zscaler reported Net New ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) of 17% year-over-year in Q4 2026. This figure significantly exceeded the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5% and also surpassed the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in the prior quarter. Management highlighted this as a 'continued acceleration' and a strong indicator of underlying business momentum.

CapEx as a percentage of Revenue5%

Increased CapEx guidance due to rising hardware costs from AI data center demand directly impacts free cash flow and profitability. Investors will closely monitor this trend for its effect on financial efficiency.

For Zscaler's stock to rerate higher, the company needs to report its fiscal year 2026 Capital Expenditure (CapEx) as a Percentage of Revenue at or below the current 5%. Additionally, the fiscal year 2027 CapEx guidance must project an increase of less than 100 basis points (i.e., less than 1%) from the fiscal year 2026 level, significantly beating current expectations.

Lower-than-expected CapEx demonstrates effective cost management and mitigates concerns about rising hardware prices impacting free cash flow and profitability. This signals improved financial efficiency, crucial for a growth stock, and alleviates a key bear point for investors.

FY26 CapEx was 8% of revenue. FY27 CapEx guidance is in the low teens as a percentage of revenue.

No

Zscaler reported fiscal year 2026 CapEx at 8% of revenue, which is above the 5% target for a rerating. Furthermore, the company guided for fiscal year 2027 CapEx to remain elevated in the 'low teens' as a percentage of revenue, indicating an increase significantly greater than the less than 100 basis points required from the FY26 level. This miss aligns with the bear point regarding rising hardware costs impacting free cash flow margins.

Net New ARR (excluding Red Canary) Growth14%

This metric reflects Zscaler's ability to acquire new business and expand existing customer relationships organically. The implied deceleration in guidance and recent sales leadership changes make this a critical focus for future growth.

For the upcoming Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings report, Zscaler's Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth (Excluding Red Canary) needs to significantly exceed the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5%. Ideally, it should approach or surpass the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in Q3 FY26.

Exceeding the 9.5% organic net new ARR growth target would signal successful sales execution and stronger underlying business momentum, alleviating concerns about recent sales leadership departures and decelerating growth. This would validate Zscaler's competitive position in the AI-driven cybersecurity market and demonstrate its ability to monetize its Zero Trust SASE platform, potentially leading to upward revisions in the fiscal 2027 outlook and improved valuation.

$232 million (17% y/y growth)

Yes

Zscaler reported Net New ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) of 17% year-over-year in Q4 2026. This figure significantly exceeded the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5% and also surpassed the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in the prior quarter. Management highlighted this as a 'continued acceleration' and a strong indicator of underlying business momentum.

Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth25%

ARR is Zscaler's primary growth metric and a key indicator of the company's overall health and future revenue potential. Its performance, especially in light of decelerating guidance for FY27, is crucial for investor sentiment.

For the upcoming Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings report, Zscaler's Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth (Excluding Red Canary) needs to significantly exceed the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5%. Ideally, it should approach or surpass the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in Q3 FY26.

Exceeding the 9.5% organic net new ARR growth target would signal successful sales execution and stronger underlying business momentum, alleviating concerns about recent sales leadership departures and decelerating growth. This would validate Zscaler's competitive position in the AI-driven cybersecurity market and demonstrate its ability to monetize its Zero Trust SASE platform, potentially leading to upward revisions in the fiscal 2027 outlook and improved valuation.

$232 million (17% y/y growth)

Yes

Zscaler reported Net New ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) of 17% year-over-year in Q4 2026. This figure significantly exceeded the company's implied guidance of approximately 9.5% and also surpassed the 14% organic net new ARR growth reported in the prior quarter. Management highlighted this as a 'continued acceleration' and a strong indicator of underlying business momentum.

Key Questions

Will Zscaler's sales leadership transition and new logo acquisition strategies, including efforts in the 2,000-10,000 user enterprise segment and channel progra

Will Zscaler's sales leadership transition and new logo acquisition strategies, including efforts in the 2,000-10,000 user enterprise segment and channel programs, effectively reaccelerate net new ARR growth in fiscal 2027 beyond the guided 16.6%-17.4% total ARR growth, following the 17% net new ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) in Q4 fiscal 2026?

Question 2

Can Zscaler effectively manage its elevated Capital Expenditure (CapEx), projected to be in the low teens as a percentage of revenue for fiscal 2027 due to higher component pricing, to prevent further compression of free cash flow margins (guided to 23%-23.5% for FY27) and maintain profitability amidst ongoing investments in AI and growth initiatives?

Question 3

Will Zscaler's strong momentum in AI-driven security, evidenced by over 50% sequential growth in Security for AI bookings and the upcoming launch and adoption of its Agentic SecOps solution, translate into significant market share gains and reaccelerated overall growth by capitalizing on the urgent demand to secure AI agents and frontier models against competitive pressures?

Earnings Transcript Summary2 rows
· 2026Q4 Earnings Call
3 Things Management Is Most Focused OnCall Takeaway & TonePrior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By Segment3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)Revenue Segments
3 Things Management Is Most Focused On1. **Securing AI environments and safely deploying AI agents/models**: Management consistently highlighted AI as the 'largest tailwind' and the urgency for Zero Trust in the AI era, emphasizing solutions to combat Agentic AI threats and enable secure AI deployment. 2. **Expanding Zero Trust platform adoption ('Zero Trust Everywhere')**: Management focused on the growth in 'Zero Trust Everywhere' enterprises and the expansion of their platform beyond users to branches, workloads, and AI applications/agents, driving broader adoption. 3. **Go-to-market execution and driving profitable growth**: Management discussed strong sales execution, record sales productivity, and strategic priorities for fiscal '27, including deepening existing customer relationships, accelerating platform adoption, improving new logo execution, and increasing partner-led contribution.Call Takeaway & ToneThe call conveyed a mixed to cautiously optimistic tone. Zscaler delivered a strong finish to fiscal 2026 with solid revenue and ARR growth, record operating margins, and accelerating net new ARR (excluding Red Canary). Management expressed strong confidence in AI as a major tailwind, driving demand for its Zero Trust platform and new AI security solutions. However, the forward-looking guidance for fiscal 2027, particularly the implied deceleration in net new ARR growth, introduced a note of caution, which analysts probed. Management attributed this prudent outlook to ongoing sales leadership transitions and the pace of new product uptake, while emphasizing long-term opportunities.Prior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By SegmentTotal Revenue: 25% year-over-year; Americas Revenue: approximately 31% year-over-year; EMEA Revenue: approximately 16% year-over-year; APJ Revenue: approximately 23% year-over-year; Data Security ARR: over 30% year-over-year; Zero Trust Branch ARR: approximately tripled year-over-year; Non-seat-based metered usage solutions ARR: more than 100% year-over-year.3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)1. **Sales churn/productivity and stabilization**: Analysts questioned the impact of sales churn and if it had stabilized. Management responded that Q4 sales productivity was the highest ever, and fiscal '26 was the highest annual productivity in four years, indicating stabilization. They acknowledged two sales leaders departed last quarter, with one internally promoted and a new leader for the geo position accepting, expecting the transition to play out in the first half of fiscal '27. 2. **Drivers of organic net new ARR acceleration and new logo activity**: Analysts asked about the discrete drivers of the organic net new ARR acceleration and new logo activity. Management cited broad-based strength across the product portfolio (Zero Trust Everywhere, AI security, Zero Trust Branch, Data Security), consistent NRR at 115%, and early success with Security for AI (50% sequential bookings increase, 75% pipeline increase). They also noted increased Fortune 500 penetration (45% to 50%) and record $1 million+ new ACV deals. 3. **Fiscal '27 ARR outlook and AI security contribution**: Analysts questioned the ARR outlook for fiscal '27, noting a decline in net new ARR growth at the midpoint, and asked if AI security was materially contemplated. Management stated they are optimistic but considered the sales transition and pace of integrated SecOps uptake. They expect consistent NRR and opportunities for new logo growth, and while AI is a strong tailwind driving demand for various solutions, they haven't specifically called out its contribution to the guidance.Revenue SegmentsTotal Revenue: 25% year-over-year; ARR: 25% year-over-year; Net new ARR: 24%; Net new ARR (excluding Red Canary): 17%; Total ARR (excluding Red Canary): 20%; Americas Revenue: approximately 30% year-over-year; EMEA Revenue: approximately 17% year-over-year; APJ Revenue: 23% year-over-year; Non-seat-based metered usage solutions (new and upsell ACV): approximately 30%; Non-seat-based metered usage solutions ARR: more than 100% year-over-year; $1 million+ ARR customers: 18% year-over-year; $100,000+ ARR customers: 20% year-over-year; Security for AI bookings: increased more than 50% sequentially in Q4.
· 2026Q3 Earnings Call
3 Things Management Is Most Focused OnCall Takeaway & TonePrior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By Segment3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)Revenue Segments
3 Things Management Is Most Focused On1. **AI-powered cybersecurity and securing AI agents**: Management consistently highlighted Zscaler's role as 'the cybersecurity platform for the AI era,' emphasizing the acquisition of Symmetry Systems for 'agentic security' and strategic partnerships with Anthropic and OpenAI. They view AI as a significant catalyst, driving demand for solutions like AI Protect. 2. **Zero Trust SASE architecture and 'Zero Trust Everywhere'**: The company stressed the unique differentiators of its Zero Trust SASE solution, such as hiding applications and eliminating lateral movement, which are crucial in the face of new AI-driven vulnerabilities. They are focused on expanding this architecture across users, cloud workloads, and branches, as evidenced by the growth in 'Zero Trust Everywhere' enterprises. 3. **Go-to-market execution and customer expansion**: Management detailed efforts to enhance their go-to-market strategy, including deepening partnerships with Global System Integrators (GSIs), expanding cloud marketplace transactions, and the success of the Z-Flex program in driving upsells and multi-year commitments. They also outlined specific plans for new logo acquisition, particularly in the lower end of the enterprise market.Call Takeaway & ToneThe call conveyed a mixed to cautiously optimistic tone. Management highlighted strong Q3 results, including 25% ARR growth and record operating margins, emphasizing Zscaler's leadership in AI-powered cybersecurity and its Zero Trust SASE solution. They expressed confidence in AI as a significant tailwind and the company's architectural advantages. However, the guidance for Q4 and the preliminary outlook for fiscal 2027 indicated a deceleration in ARR and revenue growth. Management attributed this to a 'prudent approach' given recent sales leadership changes and uncertainty surrounding the pace of new product uptake. Analysts pressed on these decelerations and the new logo strategy, reflecting some market concern. Management's responses aimed to reassure, detailing plans for go-to-market improvements and emphasizing the substantial long-term market opportunity driven by AI and Zero Trust adoption.Prior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By SegmentTotal Revenue: 26% year-over-year growth. Americas Revenue: approximately 31% year-over-year growth. EMEA Revenue: 18% year-over-year growth. APJ Revenue: approximately 23% year-over-year growth. Non-seat-based metered usage solutions ARR: more than 100% year-over-year growth. Data Security ARR: Not explicitly stated in prior quarter's snippets. Zero Trust Branch ARR: Not explicitly stated in prior quarter's snippets.3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)1. **Sales leadership turnover and its impact on guidance**: Analysts questioned the nature of the sales leadership changes and why they would influence guidance. Management responded that two leaders under the CRO departed, and while a strong sales bench exists, they are taking a 'prudent approach' to guidance due to potential short-term disruption. They also noted that one replacement was internal, and the other was in late stages of hiring. 2. **Deceleration of net new ARR and the fiscal '27 outlook**: Analysts pressed on the implied deceleration of net new ARR for Q4 and the preliminary 16-17% ARR/revenue growth outlook for fiscal '27, asking about underlying factors. Management attributed the tempered view for '27 to a prudent approach regarding sales leadership changes and the pace of uptake for integrated SecOps products (Red Canary). They clarified that the Q4 guide for net new ARR growth (excluding Red Canary) still implies an acceleration over the prior year. 3. **New logo growth strategy and tempering expectations**: Analysts sought clarification on management's comment about 'tempered' new logo growth expectations for fiscal '27. Management clarified that this reflected a 'tempered approach' in their early outlook, not a tempering of new logo growth itself, and reiterated that new logos remain a strategic focus. They outlined specific plans, including adding salespeople in the 2,000-10,000 user enterprise segment, creating channel programs for new logos, teaming with GSIs, and focusing on major accounts.Revenue SegmentsTotal Revenue: 25% year-over-year growth. Americas Revenue: approximately 31% year-over-year growth. EMEA Revenue: approximately 16% year-over-year growth. APJ Revenue: approximately 23% year-over-year growth. Data Security ARR: over 30% year-over-year growth. Zero Trust Branch ARR: approximately tripled year-over-year. Non-seat-based metered usage solutions ARR: more than 100% year-over-year growth.
Transcript Tidbits3 rows
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketZscaler is seeing AI become the largest tailwind, driving demand for its Zero Trust Everywhere, data security, and security for AI solutions. The security for AI solution is creating new logo opportunities by offering an integrated way to secure AI use at scale. The company's Fortune 500 penetration increased from 45% to 50%, and it achieved a record quarter for new $1 million-plus ACV deals. Zscaler exited Q4 with over 950 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises, up from over 700 in Q3 and over 350 at the end of fiscal 2025. There's a significant untapped market with Zscaler serving approximately 4,600 out of 20,000 targeted companies. The company is expanding its sales organization by adding dedicated new logo sales executives focused on enterprise opportunities, particularly in the lower end of the enterprise market where coverage has been thinner. Investments are also being made in channel resources to expand into the commercial and SMB segments, including an expanded partnership with Carahsoft. Zscaler's monetization model is expanding beyond users to protect branches, workloads, AI applications, and AI agents, with non-seat-based metered usage solutions contributing approximately 30% of new and upsell ACV in Q4 and for the full year, and ARR tied to these offerings growing more than 100% year-over-year.About CompetitionIn competitive scenarios, Zscaler's security for AI solution has won against two major platform competitors and was deemed the only solution capable of securing a semiconductor manufacturer's AI adoption, including endpoints, agent-to-agent communication, and model usage in private and public environments. A large global asset management firm selected Zscaler's data security posture management solution over a privately-held DSPM vendor. Zscaler is displacing legacy firewall-based SASE platforms and existing long-term legacy vendors in new logo wins for Zero Trust SASE and Zero Trust Branch solutions. Customers are seeking integrated security solutions for AI rather than multiple point products, and Zscaler differentiates itself with an end-to-end solution covering asset management, communication, access graph, and agentic communication.About The Broader IndustryThe broader industry is experiencing AI as a significant tailwind, but also a growing cybersecurity threat. New AI models are becoming more powerful, autonomous, and dangerous, rapidly uncovering previously unknown software vulnerabilities. Organizations lack the time and resources to patch these vulnerabilities, and the time between discovery and exploitation is shrinking, making a 'patching race against AI' unwinnable. Fully autonomous AI attacks are already occurring, with incidents of agents going rogue and taking unauthorized actions, driving urgency at the highest levels of organizations. In this AI era, Zero Trust is becoming an imperative, with even organizations like Anthropic encouraging its adoption for AI agents. The increased threat surface from AI is also stressing traditional human-driven SOC approaches, which take days or weeks for remediation. Enterprises embracing GenAI and Agent AI are facing new data exfiltration risks, including data abuse and over-privileged access. Additionally, the industry is seeing higher prices and tighter availability for memory, storage, and processors due to demand from AI data centers, impacting CapEx for infrastructure providers.Where Things Are HeadedZscaler is positioning itself as the cybersecurity platform for the AI era, aiming to drive durable growth and create long-term shareholder value. The company plans to scale its Zero Trust Exchange for agents and Endpoint AI Security in the second half of fiscal 2027. A major innovation, the new Agentic SecOps solution, is launching next week (September 9), designed to enable security teams to detect, investigate, and respond to threats at machine speed with closed-loop remediation in real time. Zscaler is expanding its Zero Trust Cloud solution with a managed service through Google Cloud, offering multi-cloud flexibility and faster deployment. For fiscal '27, priorities include deepening existing customer relationships, accelerating platform adoption, improving new logo execution, expanding coverage in key segments, and increasing partner-led contributions. CapEx is expected to remain elevated in fiscal '27 due to higher component pricing, especially memory. The company is undertaking a workforce restructuring affecting approximately 3% of employees to strategically reallocate resources towards AI and growth initiatives. Management anticipates that the Agentic SecOps solution will take some time to gain traction in the first half of fiscal '27 but should start contributing in the second half and fiscal '28.Updates On ThemeGovernanceBroader Themes EmergingThe platformization of AI security and observability is accelerating, with companies consolidating offerings into comprehensive, AI-driven platforms that integrate AI for defense. Identity is emerging as the foundational control plane for AI, extending controls to non-human identities for Zero Trust in the Agentic Era. The increasing importance of cloud marketplaces as a strategic route to market, aligning with enterprise cloud commitments, is also a notable trend. The consolidation of data security solutions to reduce cost and complexity is ongoing as AI adoption accelerates and sensitive data becomes more distributed. The shift towards non-seat-based, consumption-driven monetization models is also emerging, particularly for cloud workloads, branches, and AI security products.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)We delivered a strong finish to the fiscal year with 25% ARR growth and a non-GAAP operating margin of 24%. AI is quickly becoming the largest tailwind we have ever seen. Security for AI bookings increased more than 50% sequentially in Q4 on top of a strong Q3. We exited Q4 with more than 950 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises. Q4 marked the highest productivity quarter that we've ever seen and fiscal '26 was the highest annual sales productivity in 4 years. Fortune 500 penetration moved up from 45% to 50%. We had a record quarter for new million ACV teams. ARR tied to these offerings grew more than 100% year-over-year.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)New AI models have become more powerful, more autonomous and more dangerous from a cybersecurity perspective. Organizations simply do not have enough time or resources to fix the unprecedented number of software vulnerabilities that are being discovered. You cannot win a patching race against AI. We expect CapEx to remain elevated during fiscal '27 due to higher component pricing, especially memory. This action is expected to affect approximately 3% of employees and result in restructuring charges of approximately $30 million to $33 million. For the first quarter, we expect revenue of $935 million to $939 million, approximately 19% year-over-year growth. For the full year fiscal '27, we expect ARR of $4.396 billion to $4.426 billion or year-over-year growth of approximately 16.6% to 17.4%. I am considering the time it will take for the sales transition that we've talked about. We're not expecting any net new ARR contribution [from Red Canary]. We did see elevated churn in Red Canary's business in '26.HiringZscaler is strategically reallocating resources through a workforce restructuring, which is expected to affect approximately 3% of employees and result in restructuring charges of $30 million to $33 million. This action is aimed at providing additional capacity to support AI and growth initiatives. The company is actively adding sales resources, including account executives, particularly to address opportunities with new logos and upsells. There is a focus on expanding coverage in the enterprise market, especially in segments where it has been thinner, and investing in channel resources to expand into the mid-market. Dedicated new logo sales executives are being added to pursue new enterprise customer opportunities. The company is also managing a sales leadership transition, with a new leader having accepted an offer for a geo position, and expects this transition to play out in the first half of fiscal '27.
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketZscaler is expanding its Zero Trust Exchange to secure AI agents, building on its existing Zero Trust security for users, branches, cloud workloads, and connected IoT/OT devices. The company serves 4,500 enterprises out of a potential 20,000 in its primary target market, indicating a significant untapped opportunity. There's a particular focus on expanding coverage in the lower end of the enterprise market (2,000 to 10,000 users) through increased sales presence and channel programs. Zscaler is also deepening partnerships with global system integrators (GSIs) and expanding its cloud marketplace motion, which transacted approximately $900 million in TCV year-to-date, more than doubling year-over-year. The Zero Trust Everywhere initiative, encompassing users, branches, and cloud, has grown to over 700 enterprises from over 550 in the prior quarter.About CompetitionZscaler positions its architecture as purpose-built to address the limitations of firewall-based SASE solutions, which create trusted networks that enable lateral movement, unlike Zscaler's Zero Trust approach. The company claims to offer the industry's only complete Zero Trust SASE solution and states that no other cybersecurity vendor has access to data sets with comparable fidelity and breadth. Recent wins include displacing a major firewall incumbent and a legacy VPN incumbent in an 8-figure branch deal. Customers are choosing Zscaler over incumbent firewall vendors due to the stickiness of its Zero Trust approach and its ability to convert limited initial requests into comprehensive platform wins. Zscaler emphasizes that its differentiation is architectural, focusing on Zero Trust everywhere (users, branches, cloud workloads, IoT/OT devices), while competitors are still trying to build Zero Trust for users.About The Broader IndustryThe broader industry is experiencing a significant shift driven by AI, with Zscaler noting that AI is changing the nature of cybersecurity in real time. AI agents are expected to become the 'weakest link' in cybersecurity, operating at greater speed with less oversight, potentially causing catastrophic damage. Frontier AI models like Mythos are rapidly discovering software vulnerabilities, multiplying unremediated vulnerabilities by as much as 10x, and enterprises lack the capacity to patch them. This necessitates a different approach to security, focusing on hiding applications and eliminating lateral movement. There's also a trend of customers seeking to reduce cost and complexity by consolidating data security solutions as AI adoption accelerates and sensitive data becomes more distributed. C-suite executives are reportedly 'freaking out' over the emergence of these powerful AI models. Hardware costs, including memory, storage, and processors, are increasing due to demand from AI data centers, impacting CapEx for companies like Zscaler.Where Things Are HeadedZscaler anticipates AI and frontier models like Mythos to be one of the strongest tailwinds for its business, driving demand for its Zero Trust SASE solution. The company expects a meaningful increase in machine-to-machine and agent-to-agent interactions due to AI agents. Strategic initiatives include enhancing its go-to-market engine, deepening GSI partnerships (e.g., Project AI-Guardian), and expanding its cloud marketplace motion. For fiscal 2027, Zscaler projects total ARR and revenue growth of 16% to 17%. The company plans to roll out an integrated SecOps solution in fiscal 2027 and will continue to strategically focus on new logo acquisition. However, CapEx as a percentage of revenue is expected to increase by up to 200 basis points in fiscal 2027 due to higher hardware prices. Zscaler's primary focus is to work with customers to achieve 'Zero Trust Everywhere' across users, cloud workloads, and branches.Updates On ThemeGovernanceBroader Themes EmergingThe transcript highlights the profound impact of AI on cybersecurity, specifically the emergence of AI agents as a new and critical attack surface, and the accelerated discovery of vulnerabilities by frontier AI models. This is creating an urgent need for new security paradigms beyond traditional patching. Another emerging theme is the increasing importance of cloud marketplaces as a simplified and strategic route to market for enterprise software, aligning with enterprise cloud commitments and supporting larger engagements. The consolidation of data security solutions to reduce cost and complexity is also noted as a broader industry trend.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)We delivered strong Q3 results. ARR grew 25% and non-GAAP operating margin hit an all-time high at 23%. Zscaler is the cybersecurity platform for the AI era. We offer the industry's only complete Zero Trust SASE solution. No other cybersecurity vendor has access to data sets with comparable fidelity and breadth. AI is a catalyst for our business. Our AI Protect solution is resonating with customers with bookings crossing $100 million over the past 12 months. Data security, which crossed $500 million ARR, up over 30% year-over-year. Signed the largest branch deal in Zscaler history, an 8-figure upsell. Zero Trust Branch, where ARR has approximately tripled year-over-year. We exited Q3 with more than 700 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises. We expect AI and Mythos-like frontier models to be one of the strongest tailwinds our business has ever seen. This was our sixth straight quarter of sales productivity growth.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)At the end of the third quarter, 2 sales leaders departed the company. We are taking a prudent approach to our guidance during this transition. My expectations relative to the early look for next year took a tempered approach to how we thought about the contributions of new logos. CapEx as a percentage of revenue to increase up to 200 basis points compared to fiscal '26 levels. Our view is for total ARR and revenue growth for fiscal '27 of 16% to 17%. This guidance implies net new ARR growth, excluding Red Canary, of approximately 9.5%. Red Canary's net new ARR to grow at a slower rate than the overall business in '27. Growth in Europe slowed.HiringTwo sales leaders, part of the CRO's team, departed the company at the end of the third quarter. Zscaler has already appointed an internal replacement for one role and is in the late stages of hiring for the other. The company plans to add more salespeople to increase coverage in the lower end of the enterprise market (2,000 to 10,000 users).
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketZscaler is expanding its Zero Trust Exchange to secure AI agents, building on its existing Zero Trust security for users, branches, cloud workloads, and connected IoT/OT devices. The company serves 4,500 enterprises out of a potential 20,000 in its primary target market, indicating a significant untapped opportunity. There's a particular focus on expanding coverage in the lower end of the enterprise market (2,000 to 10,000 users) through increased sales presence and channel programs. Zscaler is also deepening partnerships with global system integrators (GSIs) and expanding its cloud marketplace motion, which transacted approximately $900 million in TCV year-to-date, more than doubling year-over-year. The Zero Trust Everywhere initiative, encompassing users, branches, and cloud, has grown to over 700 enterprises from over 550 in the prior quarter.About CompetitionZscaler positions its architecture as purpose-built to address the limitations of firewall-based SASE solutions, which create trusted networks that enable lateral movement, unlike Zscaler's Zero Trust approach. The company claims to offer the industry's only complete Zero Trust SASE solution and states that no other cybersecurity vendor has access to data sets with comparable fidelity and breadth. Recent wins include displacing a major firewall incumbent and a legacy VPN incumbent in an 8-figure branch deal. Customers are choosing Zscaler over incumbent firewall vendors due to the stickiness of its Zero Trust approach and its ability to convert limited initial requests into comprehensive platform wins. Zscaler emphasizes that its differentiation is architectural, focusing on Zero Trust everywhere (users, branches, cloud workloads, IoT/OT devices), while competitors are still trying to build Zero Trust for users.About The Broader IndustryThe broader industry is experiencing a significant shift driven by AI, with Zscaler noting that AI is changing the nature of cybersecurity in real time. AI agents are expected to become the 'weakest link' in cybersecurity, operating at greater speed with less oversight, potentially causing catastrophic damage. Frontier AI models like Mythos are rapidly discovering software vulnerabilities, multiplying unremediated vulnerabilities by as much as 10x, and enterprises lack the capacity to patch them. This necessitates a different approach to security, focusing on hiding applications and eliminating lateral movement. There's also a trend of customers seeking to reduce cost and complexity by consolidating data security solutions as AI adoption accelerates and sensitive data becomes more distributed. C-suite executives are reportedly 'freaking out' over the emergence of these powerful AI models. Hardware costs, including memory, storage, and processors, are increasing due to demand from AI data centers, impacting CapEx for companies like Zscaler.Where Things Are HeadedZscaler anticipates AI and frontier models like Mythos to be one of the strongest tailwinds for its business, driving demand for its Zero Trust SASE solution. The company expects a meaningful increase in machine-to-machine and agent-to-agent interactions due to AI agents. Strategic initiatives include enhancing its go-to-market engine, deepening GSI partnerships (e.g., Project AI-Guardian), and expanding its cloud marketplace motion. For fiscal 2027, Zscaler projects total ARR and revenue growth of 16% to 17%. The company plans to roll out an integrated SecOps solution in fiscal 2027 and will continue to strategically focus on new logo acquisition. However, CapEx as a percentage of revenue is expected to increase by up to 200 basis points in fiscal 2027 due to higher hardware prices. Zscaler's primary focus is to work with customers to achieve 'Zero Trust Everywhere' across users, cloud workloads, and branches.Updates On ThemeGovernanceBroader Themes EmergingThe platformization of AI security and observability is accelerating, with companies like Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler consolidating offerings into comprehensive, AI-driven platforms that integrate AI for defense rather than relying on siloed point solutions. Identity is emerging as the foundational control plane for AI, as SailPoint and Okta explicitly focus on extending identity controls to non-human identities, crucial for Zero Trust in the Agentic Era. The increasing importance of cloud marketplaces as a simplified and strategic route to market for enterprise software, aligning with enterprise cloud commitments and supporting larger engagements. The consolidation of data security solutions to reduce cost and complexity is also noted as a broader industry trend.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)We delivered strong Q3 results. ARR grew 25% and non-GAAP operating margin hit an all-time high at 23%. AI is changing the nature of cybersecurity in real time, and Zscaler is the cybersecurity platform for the AI era. We offer the industry's only complete Zero Trust SASE solution. No other cybersecurity vendor has access to data sets with comparable fidelity and breadth. AI is a catalyst for our business. Our AI Protect solution is resonating with customers with bookings crossing $100 million over the past 12 months. Data security, which crossed $500 million ARR, up over 30% year-over-year. Signed the largest branch deal in Zscaler history, an 8-figure upsell. Zero Trust Branch, where ARR has approximately tripled year-over-year. We exited Q3 with more than 700 Zero Trust Everywhere enterprises. We expect AI and Mythos-like frontier models to be one of the strongest tailwinds our business has ever seen. This was our sixth straight quarter of sales productivity growth.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)At the end of the third quarter, 2 sales leaders departed the company. We are taking a prudent approach to our guidance during this transition. My expectations relative to the early look for next year took a tempered approach to how we thought about the contributions of new logos. CapEx as a percentage of revenue to increase up to 200 basis points compared to fiscal '26 levels. Our view is for total ARR and revenue growth for fiscal '27 of 16% to 17%. This guidance implies net new ARR growth, excluding Red Canary, of approximately 9.5%. Red Canary's net new ARR to grow at a slower rate than the overall business in '27. Growth in Europe slowed.HiringAt the end of the third quarter, 2 sales leaders departed the company. We already appointed a replacement for one of these leaders, and we are in the late stages of hiring a leader for the other role. The company plans on adding more salespeople in the lower end of the enterprise market (2,000 to 10,000 users) where coverage is currently limited.
Notes2 rows
DateCommentComment TypeComment SentimentLinkPrice Reaction
2026-05-26Zscaler reported strong Q3 2026 results, with ARR growing 25% and non-GAAP operating margin reaching a record 23%. However, the market reacted negatively, with the stock plunging over 30% (t+1 day). This was primarily due to a lower-than-expected fiscal 2027 revenue growth forecast of 16-17% (below Street expectations of 18.4-20%), increased CapEx guidance, and sales leadership departures. Despite management's emphasis on AI as a strong tailwind, the guidance overshadowed the positive Q3 performance.Earnings TranscriptNeutralhttps://ir.zscaler.com/investor-relations/events-and-presentations/event-details/2026/Zscaler-Third-Quarter-Fiscal-2026-Earnings-Conference-Call/default.aspxN/A
2026-09-03Zscaler reported strong Q4 FY26 results with accelerating net new ARR, driven by AI tailwinds and Security for AI bookings. However, the market reacted negatively (ZS -1.70% vs. SPY -0.39%) to decelerating FY27 ARR guidance (16.6-17.4%), elevated CapEx, and ongoing sales leadership transitions, overshadowing positive Q4 momentum and AI optimism.Earnings TranscriptNeutral-1.70% (vs SPY: -1.31%)
Upcoming Events6 rows
Catalyst IDEstimated TimingEstimated Date StartEstimated Date EndCatalystWhy It MattersTicker Or Theme SpecificTranscript DateSource Type
ZS_a96fd926October 62026-10-062026-10-06Zscaler will host an Investor Day in New York City.This event provides an opportunity for management to detail strategy, product roadmap, and financial plans, particularly for AI Security and Zero Trust Everywhere, which can influence investor sentiment and valuation.Ticker2026-09-03earnings_transcript
ZS_a5e0f27cQ42026-05-012027-04-30Higher capital expenditures in Q4 FY26 and fiscal year 2027 due to increasing memory, storage, and processor prices, impacting free cash flow margin.Increased CapEx will negatively impact free cash flow margin in Q4 FY26 and FY27, as reflected in the lowered free cash flow margin guidance for FY26. This could impact profitability and investor sentiment.Ticker2026-05-26earnings_transcript
ZS_8c7cb2dcin '272026-05-012027-04-30Rollout and customer uptake of the integrated SecOps solution, combining Zscaler's platform with Red Canary's capabilities.Successful uptake could drive further upsell and cross-sell opportunities, contributing to ARR growth. The uncertainty around the pace of uptake could impact the realization of this growth.Ticker2026-05-26earnings_transcript
ZS_494da17dan important part of our fiscal '27 plan2026-05-012027-04-30Execution and effectiveness of new initiatives to accelerate new logo acquisition, particularly in the mid-market enterprise segment and through channel partners.Improved new logo growth is a strategic focus and could significantly boost ARR and market share, offsetting the 'tempered view' currently incorporated into FY27 guidance. Failure to execute could further pressure growth.Ticker2026-05-26earnings_transcript
ZS_ab629f13will have impact in fiscal '272026-05-012027-04-30Accelerated enterprise adoption of AI and the emergence of powerful frontier AI models driving increased demand for Zscaler's Zero Trust security solutions.This represents a significant tailwind, potentially boosting pipeline, new logo wins, and upsells for Zscaler's AI Protect and Zero Trust solutions, positively impacting revenue and ARR growth.Theme2026-05-26earnings_transcript
ZS_86551063short term2026-05-012027-04-30Resolution of sales leadership transitions and their impact on sales execution and growth trajectory.The departure of two sales leaders and the ongoing transition could disrupt sales execution, potentially impacting net new ARR growth and overall revenue. Management has already taken a 'prudent approach' to guidance due to this uncertainty.Ticker2026-05-26earnings_transcript
Prior Earnings Metrics HistoryTable

Prior earnings scorecards