SRAD

T3

Sportradar Group AG

Next est. report · BMO

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Overview

Sportradar Group AG provides essential sports data, technology, and content to global sports betting operators and media companies. Its core Betting Technology

Sportradar Group AG provides essential sports data, technology, and content to global sports betting operators and media companies. Its core Betting Technology & Solutions segment, comprising about 83% of revenue, offers mission-critical software and data. The company also serves media partners, sports leagues, and prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, enhanced by IMG Arena and AI-driven innovations, including new iGaming solutions.

Search Keywords Brand Product

  • Betradar
  • Sportradar Media Services
  • 4Sight Streaming
  • Playradar
  • Live Match Tracker
  • Managed Trading Services
  • Affiliate Marketing
  • Prediction Markets Data
  • iGaming Solutions
  • sports data
  • sports betting technology
  • media content services
  • AI in sports
  • sports integrity
  • betting content
  • odds data
  • live streaming sports
  • customer acquisition sports
  • risk management betting

Search Keywords Event Phrases

  • Sportradar Q2 2026 earnings
  • Sportradar guidance update
  • Sportradar share repurchase

Search Keywords Policy Regulatory

  • prediction market regulation
  • iGaming certification
  • sports betting tax regulation
What They Do (Plain English & Analogies)
Sportradar is like the "picks and shovels" provider for the global sports betting and media industries. Imagine a gold rush: everyone wants to find gold (bet on sports), but Sportradar sells the essential tools and maps (data, technology, and content) that prospectors (betting operators, media companies) need to succeed. They collect, process, and distribute vast amounts of sports data, statistics, and content in real-time. This includes everything from live scores and odds calculations to video streams, risk management software, and advanced analytics. They essentially provide the critical infrastructure and tools that betting operators need to set accurate odds, manage risk, and engage bettors, and that media companies use to deliver rich, data-driven content and interactive experiences to sports fans. They are also expanding into new areas like prediction markets and iGaming, providing the underlying data and technology for these emerging forms of sports engagement.
Very Brief History
Sportradar Group AG was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in St. Gallen, Switzerland. Over two decades, it has grown to become a mission-critical partner deeply embedded in the global sports ecosystem, expanding its offerings to include comprehensive data, technology, and content solutions for sports betting and media. A significant recent milestone is the acquisition of IMG Arena in 2025, which further strengthened its content portfolio and competitive position.
"Street Stereotype"
Sportradar is generally perceived as a 'Gambling Picks and Shovels' company. Investors view it as a foundational technology and data provider that benefits from the overall growth of the sports betting market without taking on the direct risks of operating a sportsbook. It's often seen as a scalable business with strong operating leverage due to its data moats and technology integration.
Subsidiaries On Linked In*
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Customer Sectors & Example Clients
Customer sectors include: Sports Betting Operators (Bookmakers), Sports Leagues and Federations, Media Companies (Broadcasters, Digital Platforms), Prediction Market Exchanges, Market Makers, and Brokers. Specific clients mentioned or inferred include: Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, Major League Baseball (MLB), ATP Tour, NHL, Major League Soccer (MLS), UFC, PGA, Wimbledon, Roland-Garros, U.S. Open, German DFB.
New Customers / Segments They'Re Targeting
Sportradar is actively targeting the emerging "prediction markets" ecosystem, including exchanges, market makers, and brokers, by providing premium content, real-time data, odds, fan engagement solutions, customer acquisition services, and integrity services. They are also expanding into "iGaming" by creating differentiated entertainment experiences that seamlessly connect sports betting and iGaming, targeting existing customers who operate across both, as well as new players.
Supply Chain And Sourcing Geographies
The company's supply chain primarily involves securing sports rights and data. While the transcript mentions "sports rights expense" and "cloud costs," specific geographical sourcing details for these or other components are not explicitly provided.
Sales Geographies And Expansion Plans
Sportradar currently has a global presence, with sales in the United States and various "Rest of World" territories. They are actively expanding the rollout of their iGaming business, having secured regulatory certification across multiple jurisdictions in South America, Europe, and Canada, with plans to expand into additional major European markets and several U.S. states throughout the remainder of the year.
How Key Themes May Help/Hurt
The "AI '25: Data Owners" theme strongly benefits Sportradar. As a company with proprietary sports data and a mission-critical position in the sports betting and media industries, Sportradar is uniquely positioned to leverage AI. They are already using AI to automate workflows, enhance coding and data collection, and accelerate product innovation, which drives cost efficiencies and margin expansion. Their generative foundation model for basketball, with plans to expand to other sports, enhances predictive insights and products, creating defensible data moats and hard-to-replicate product experiences. The focus on tangible monetization and real-world ROI from AI, as highlighted in the theme, aligns with Sportradar's strategy of applying AI to its proprietary data to create new revenue opportunities in areas like prediction markets and iGaming.

3 Main Long-Term Bull Details

  1. Dominant Position & Expanding Content Moat: Sportradar maintains a scaled leadership position in the global sports betting and media industries, significantly enhanced by the IMG Arena acquisition which is exceeding revenue synergy targets. This strengthens its competitive moat with premium sports rights and enables accelerated revenue growth through cross-selling and upselling to its extensive global client base.
  2. AI-Driven Innovation & New Growth Avenues: The company is at the forefront of leveraging AI, with its generative foundation model expanding to new sports, enhancing predictive insights and products. New growth pillars like prediction markets, with multi-year global agreements already secured, and the organically developed iGaming business, are expanding its addressable market and diversifying revenue streams.
  3. Strong Operating Leverage & Shareholder Returns: Sportradar consistently demonstrates strong Adjusted EBITDA growth and margin expansion, driven by cost efficiencies and predictable, long-term sports rights costs. This operating leverage, combined with robust free cash flow generation and an active $1 billion share repurchase program, underscores confidence in long-term value creation.

3 Main Long-Term Bear Details

  1. U.S. Market Moderation & Regulatory Headwinds: The U.S. market growth is moderating due to no significant state openings, and certain Rest of World territories are impacted by increased tax regulation, creating short-term headwinds for revenue growth.
  2. Foreign Currency Headwinds: Foreign currency movements, particularly the U.S. dollar relative to the euro, continue to negatively impact reported revenue growth, obscuring underlying business performance.
  3. Prediction Market Regulatory Uncertainty & Timing: While prediction markets offer significant upside, the timing of executing deals and the evolving legal and compliance framework in this sector can lead to delays in revenue realization and introduce uncertainty.
Competitors And Differentiation
While not explicitly named in the recent transcript, Genius Sports is a known competitor. Sportradar differentiates itself through its unmatched global scale across the sports, media, and betting industries, a robust content portfolio (including premium sports rights from acquisitions like IMG Arena), a diversified product suite, and leading technology and services solutions. They emphasize their mission-critical provider position at the intersection of sports betting and media, their ability to monetize rights across a large global client base, and their product innovation, particularly in prediction markets and iGaming, where they leverage their existing rights and distribution.
Recent Performance & What The Market'S Focused On
Sportradar reported Q2 2026 revenues of EUR 378 million, an increase of 19% year-over-year (21% on a constant currency basis), driven by strong performance in betting and gaming content and continued monetization of IMG ARENA rights. Adjusted EBITDA increased 19% year-on-year to EUR 76 million, with a 20% margin. However, the company reported a net loss for the quarter of EUR 4 million, primarily due to unrecognized foreign currency losses. Full-year guidance for 2026 was updated to reflect moderation in U.S. market growth, impacts from increased tax regulation in some Rest of World territories, and the timing of prediction market deals. The market is focused on the acceleration of growth in the second half of 2026, driven by further capitalization of IMG synergies, expansion into prediction markets, and global customer renewals, alongside the progress of the iGaming business and the impact of AI on cost efficiencies.
Revenue Segments And Estimated Mix
  • Betting Technology and Solutions — Mix: ~83%; Source: Q2 2026 transcript; Trend: Increased 21% YoY to EUR 314 million, driven by 27% increase in betting and gaming content revenues. Managed Betting Services revenues were in line with prior year.
  • Sports Content, Technology & Services — Mix: ~17%; Source: Q2 2026 transcript; Trend: Increased 9% YoY to EUR 64 million, driven by growth in Marketing and Media Services, partially offset by reduction in sports performance revenues due to FX.
Product Brands
  • Betradar
  • Sportradar Media Services
  • 4Sight Streaming
  • Playradar
  • Live Match Tracker
Bull / Bear Details

Sportradar remains a critical "picks and shovels" provider to the global sports betting and media industries. As of 2026-08-30, strong Q2 growth, exceeding IMG

Thesis

Sportradar remains a critical "picks and shovels" provider to the global sports betting and media industries. As of 2026-08-30, strong Q2 growth, exceeding IMG Arena synergy targets, and significant expansion into prediction markets and iGaming bolster its market leadership and data moat. While updated 2026 guidance reflects U.S. market moderation and regulatory headwinds, accelerated share repurchases and AI-driven efficiencies underscore long-term confidence, making the bull case compelling.

Bull case

  • Sportradar is exceeding its IMG Arena revenue synergy target of 25% for 2026, demonstrating strong demand for its content and successful integration into its global client base. This, combined with 19% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 2026, particularly 27% in betting and gaming content, reinforces its competitive position and ability to drive accretive revenue.

  • The company is aggressively expanding into new, high-growth adjacent markets, securing multiyear agreements with prediction market leaders like Kalshi and Polymarket, which are poised to accelerate growth in H2 2026 and significantly in 2027/2028. Additionally, the Playradar iGaming business, with its 5x player lifetime value potential, is rolling out globally, further diversifying revenue.

  • Sportradar is committed to shareholder returns and operational efficiency, evidenced by its accelerated $250 million share repurchase program, having bought back $422 million under the $1 billion authorization. Furthermore, leveraging AI to automate workflows and enhance product innovation is driving cost savings and margin expansion, positioning for long-term profitable growth.

Bear case

  • Sportradar revised its full-year 2026 guidance downward due to moderation in U.S. market growth, delayed prediction market deals, and negative impacts from increased tax regulation in certain Rest of World territories. This indicates short-term headwinds and a potential disconnect between initial expectations and market realities.

  • The U.S. prediction market landscape faces significant regulatory uncertainty and pushback from state Attorneys General, which could restrict operations and delay widespread adoption, limiting Sportradar's monetization potential in this emerging segment. Additionally, the new iGaming business, Playradar, is in its "very early stage of its life cycle," implying a longer ramp-up.

  • Foreign currency headwinds continue to negatively impact reported revenue growth, and the company reported a net loss of EUR 4 million in Q2 2026, partly due to unrecognized foreign currency losses and restructuring costs. Adjusted EBIT margins are also anticipated to be down year-on-year in Q3 due to IMG content seasonality, indicating potential margin pressure.

Bull / Bear Case
Bear Case
Sportradar revised its full-year 2026 guidance downward due to moderation in U.S. market growth, delayed prediction market deals, and negative impacts from increased tax regulation in certain international territories. The U.S. prediction market landscape faces significant regulatory uncertainty and pushback from state Attorneys General, potentially restricting operations and delaying widespread adoption. The new iGaming business, Playradar, is in its "very early stage of its life cycle," implying a longer ramp-up. Foreign currency headwinds continue to negatively impact reported revenue, and the company reported a net loss of EUR 4 million in Q2 2026, partly due to unrecognized foreign currency losses and restructuring costs, indicating short-term margin pressure.
Bull Case
Sportradar is exceeding its IMG Arena revenue synergy target of 25% for 2026, driving robust Q2 revenue growth, particularly in betting and gaming content. The company is aggressively expanding into high-growth adjacent markets like prediction markets, securing multi-year agreements with key players such as Kalshi and Polymarket, with significant revenue ramp-up expected in 2027/2028. Additionally, the new Playradar iGaming business, offering 5x player lifetime value potential, is rolling out globally, leveraging Sportradar's unique ability to connect live sports with iGaming. Commitment to shareholder returns through an accelerated $250 million share repurchase program and AI-driven operational efficiencies further bolster long-term profitable growth.
More Compelling & Why
Bear. The stock's trailing P/E of over 195x is excessively high, especially considering the recent net loss in Q2 2026 and the downward revision of full-year guidance due to U.S. market moderation and delayed prediction market monetization. The strongest argument for the bear case is the significant short-term headwinds and regulatory uncertainty in emerging markets, which are not adequately reflected in the current valuation. My view would flip if Sportradar consistently demonstrates re-accelerated U.S. market growth, clear regulatory pathways for prediction markets, and sustained profitability, leading to a more reasonable trailing P/E or a significantly improved free cash flow yield.
Key Factors5 rows
Key FactorWhy It MattersWhat To WatchWhat It SignalsWhere/How To TrackFree Alt DataPaid Alt Data
U.S. Market Growth and Regulatory HeadwindsThe U.S. market is a key growth driver, but it is experiencing moderation due to a lack of significant state openings and faces regulatory uncertainty for prediction markets. These trends directly impact Sportradar's revenue trajectory and addressable market expansion.Announcements of new U.S. state openings for traditional online sports betting. Resolution or further developments in state-level legal challenges against prediction markets (e.g., New York Attorney General lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket). Management commentary in future earnings calls regarding the expected 'slight improvement' in the U.S. market in H2 2026 and any impacts from tax regulation in Rest of World territories.Bullish: New significant U.S. state openings for online sports betting. Favorable resolution of prediction market legal challenges, allowing broader and stable operation. U.S. revenue growth accelerating beyond current trends. Bearish: Continued lack of new state openings for OSB. Unfavorable legal rulings or increased regulatory restrictions on prediction markets. Further deceleration of U.S. market growth or increased negative impact from tax regulation in key international markets.State gaming commission reports, industry news (e.g., Legal Sports Report, CDC Gaming), company earnings calls, SEC filings (Form 6-K).Google Trends: 'sports betting legalization [state name]', 'prediction market regulation [state name]'. State government websites for legislative updates.Vixio GamblingCompliance: Regulatory updates and market forecasts for U.S. sports betting and prediction markets.
IMG Arena Acquisition Integration and Revenue SynergiesSuccessful integration and monetization of IMG Arena content are crucial for accelerating Sportradar's revenue growth, strengthening its content moat, and enhancing its competitive position in the global sports betting and media industries. Exceeding synergy targets indicates strong execution.Management commentary in Q3 and Q4 2026 earnings calls explicitly stating exceeding the previously communicated 25% revenue synergy target for IMG in 2026. Continued strong year-over-year growth in Betting & Gaming Content revenue (which was up 27% in Q2 2026). Announcements of further premium product rollouts (e.g., player/micro markets, 4Sight Streaming) leveraging IMG content and expanding client adoptions.Bullish: Management explicitly states exceeding the 25% revenue synergy target for IMG. Continued high double-digit growth in Betting & Gaming Content revenue. Bearish: Any indication of slowing demand for IMG content, difficulty in integrating new products, or failure to meet the 25% synergy target.Company earnings releases, SEC filings (Form 6-K), earnings call transcripts.Industry reports on sports content licensing and betting product adoption.N/A
Prediction Markets Partnerships and Official Data DeploymentPrediction markets represent a significant new addressable market, expanding the U.S. TAM by opening new states and attracting new players. Successful partnerships and official data deployment are crucial for Sportradar to monetize this fast-growing segment and drive substantial revenue uplift.Announcements of additional multi-year commercial deals with prediction market exchanges, market makers, or brokers beyond Kalshi and Polymarket. Specific commentary on the revenue contribution from prediction markets in future earnings calls, particularly for 2026, 2027, and 2028. Rollout and adoption rates of the new low-latency feed for market makers, starting with the U.S. Open and NBA season.Bullish: Announcements of additional multi-year agreements with major prediction market platforms beyond Kalshi and Polymarket. Management commentary indicating the 'tens of millions' uplift for 2026 is being realized or exceeded, and the 2027/2028 ramp-up is on track. Strong uptake and revenue contribution from the new low-latency feed. Bearish: Delays in anticipated additional deals or lower-than-expected revenue contribution from existing deals. Negative regulatory developments or legal challenges that significantly restrict prediction market operations in key states.Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 6-K), earnings call transcripts. Industry news outlets covering sports betting and prediction markets (e.g., SiGMA World, CDC Gaming).Google Trends: 'Kalshi', 'Polymarket', 'prediction markets regulation'. Industry news aggregators for sports betting and iGaming. State Attorney General websites for legal updates on prediction markets.Thinknum: Job postings for 'prediction market specialist' at Sportradar or key partners. YipitData/Apptopia: User engagement and download trends for Kalshi/Polymarket apps. Vixio GamblingCompliance: Regulatory updates and market forecasts for prediction markets.
iGaming (Playradar) Rollout and AdoptionThe newly established Playradar iGaming business is a natural extension of Sportradar's core offerings. Players engaging in both sports betting and iGaming can generate up to 5x the lifetime value, making successful rollout and adoption critical for expanding revenue streams and increasing customer lifetime value.Official launch of Playradar at the SBC conference in Lisbon at the end of September. Announcements of new iGaming partnerships or platform integrations with operators. Expansion of iGaming regulatory certifications and market launches into additional major European markets and U.S. states throughout the remainder of 2026. Specific revenue contribution commentary from iGaming in future earnings.Bullish: Successful official launch and rapid adoption of Playradar by operators, leading to specific, positive revenue contribution commentary in future earnings. Expansion into a significant number of new jurisdictions beyond current certifications (South America, Europe, Canada). Bearish: Delays in Playradar launch or regulatory approvals. Limited uptake by operators leading to minimal revenue contribution or slower-than-expected market penetration.Company press releases, earnings call transcripts, industry conferences (SBC Lisbon, end of September).Google Trends: 'Playradar', 'Sportradar iGaming'. Industry news sites covering iGaming launches and partnerships.Thinknum: Job postings for 'iGaming specialist' at Sportradar. YipitData/Apptopia: User engagement and download trends for iGaming platforms integrating Playradar.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion and AI-driven Cost EfficienciesAdjusted EBITDA margin expansion demonstrates Sportradar's operational efficiency and ability to drive profitability, especially given fixed sports rights costs. Leveraging AI for cost efficiencies is key to achieving updated full-year guidance and validating the 'picks and shovels' investment thesis.Reported Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 and Q4 2026. Progress towards the updated full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of EUR 360 million to EUR 368 million (24% to 27% constant currency growth). Management commentary on the specific impact and realized savings from AI-driven automation and cost efficiency initiatives.Bullish: Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in H2 2026, aligning with or exceeding updated full-year guidance. Strong commentary on AI's tangible contribution to cost savings and margin improvement. Bearish: Further downward revisions to full-year EBITDA guidance. Continued margin contraction beyond Q3 2026, or lack of clear evidence of AI-driven cost efficiencies.Company earnings releases, SEC filings (Form 6-K), earnings call transcripts.N/AThinknum: Overall job postings trend for Sportradar (indicating efficiency/hiring slowdown).
Key Reported Metrics, Reratings Triggers & Results3 rows

As the core business segment, its growth signifies strong demand for Sportradar's mission-critical data and software services, validating the IMG integration an

Upcoming print · 2026-11-04

Key reported metrics
MetricLast periodWhy it matters
Betting Technology & Solutions Revenue Growth€314 million (21% y/y growth)

As the core business segment, its growth signifies strong demand for Sportradar's mission-critical data and software services, validating the IMG integration and overall 'picks and shovels' thesis.

Adjusted EBITDA Growth€76 million (19% y/y growth); Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%; Full-year 2026 guidance updated to €360 million to €368 million reported (24% to 27% constant currency growth)

This highlights Sportradar's operational profitability and efficiency, demonstrating its ability to generate operating leverage and manage costs, especially with AI-driven efficiencies and IMG synergies. It's crucial for margin expansion.

Total Revenue Growth (Constant Currency)€378 million (19% y/y growth, 21% constant currency y/y growth); Full-year 2026 guidance updated to €1.518 billion to €1.533 billion reported (19% to 21% constant currency growth)

This metric reflects Sportradar's overall top-line performance, indicating market demand and the success of strategic initiatives like IMG Arena integration and expansion into prediction markets and iGaming. Investors watch this for overall business health and growth trajectory.

Last reported · 2026-08-04

Key reported metricsRerating thresholdsEarnings results
MetricLast periodWhy it mattersWhat's needed for reratingRerating contextEarnings dateActual reportedHit target?Notes
Adjusted EBITDA48%

Hitting this threshold validates Sportradar's 'picks and shovels' investment thesis by demonstrating strong operating leverage and successful IMG Arena integration. It signals enhanced profitability in a growing market, strengthening its competitive position and justifying a higher valuation multiple. Investors are keenly watching for clear evidence of sustained margin expansion and robust growth.

For Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) to re-rate higher, the Adjusted EBITDA metric needs to demonstrate significant expansion beyond its current 29% margin. Specifically, the company would need to report full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA that comfortably beats its guidance of at least €290 million, which already represents at least 30% growth over 2024. Crucially, Sportradar must show an Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q4 2025 of at least 30%, aligning with or exceeding industry norms for 'picks and shovels' companies, and provide 2026 guidance for continued margin expansion towards the 33-34% range, similar to peer company expectations. This should be coupled with robust double-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth projections for 2026, building on the strong 2025 growth.

Hitting this threshold validates Sportradar's 'picks and shovels' investment thesis by demonstrating strong operating leverage and successful IMG Arena integration. It signals enhanced profitability in a growing market, strengthening its competitive position and justifying a higher valuation multiple. Investors are keenly watching for clear evidence of sustained margin expansion and robust growth.

€76 million (19% y/y growth); Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20%; Full-year 2026 guidance updated to €360 million to €368 million reported (24% to 27% constant currency growth)

No

The Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA growth of 19% year-over-year was a deceleration from the prior quarter. The reported Adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% for Q2 2026 is significantly below the 29% 'current' margin and the 30% target for Q4 2025 mentioned in the rerating trigger. Furthermore, the full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised downwards to 24-27% constant currency growth, from previous higher expectations, and management indicated Q3 Adjusted EBIT margins would be down year-on-year. This indicates a miss on the rerating trigger's expectation for 'continued margin expansion towards the 33-34% range' and a robust increase in 2026 guidance.

Betting Technology & Solutions Revenue24%

This metric is crucial as Betting Technology & Solutions constitutes approximately 80% of Sportradar's total revenue. Accelerated growth above recent levels signals strong demand for its core offerings, validating the 'picks and shovels' investment thesis. This performance would enhance valuation multiples, strengthen its competitive position against rivals like Genius Sports, and boost investor confidence in future profitability and cash flow, especially after the Q3 2025 revenue miss.

For Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) to re-rate higher, the Betting Technology & Solutions Revenue metric needs to demonstrate a significant acceleration in year-over-year growth, ideally hitting 18-20% or higher. This would represent a clear re-acceleration from the 11% growth reported in Q3 2025 and the 14% in Q1 2025. Achieving this would align the segment's performance more closely with the company's overall 2025 revenue guidance of at least 17% growth and analyst projections of 22.19% overall revenue growth for 2026. Additionally, a strong beat on the overall Q4 2025 revenue consensus of $369.585 million (€369.585 million), driven by this core segment, coupled with robust 2026 guidance, would be critical.

This metric is crucial as Betting Technology & Solutions constitutes approximately 80% of Sportradar's total revenue. Accelerated growth above recent levels signals strong demand for its core offerings, validating the 'picks and shovels' investment thesis. This performance would enhance valuation multiples, strengthen its competitive position against rivals like Genius Sports, and boost investor confidence in future profitability and cash flow, especially after the Q3 2025 revenue miss.

€314 million (21% y/y growth)

Yes

Betting Technology & Solutions Revenue grew 21% year-over-year in Q2 2026, exceeding the rerating trigger's ideal range of 18-20% or higher. This segment's strong performance, driven by betting and gaming content, was a positive highlight in the earnings report.

Total Revenue22%

Exceeding revenue expectations and providing robust forward guidance demonstrates accelerating growth and market share gains in the competitive sports betting data industry. This validates the 'picks and shovels' investment thesis, signals effective IMG Arena acquisition integration, and justifies a higher valuation multiple, attracting increased investor confidence.

For Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) to re-rate higher, Total Revenue for Q4 2025 needs to exceed the analyst consensus estimate of $369.585 million (€369.585 million). More critically, the company must provide strong 2026 revenue guidance, indicating year-over-year growth of 25% or higher on a constant currency basis, ideally approaching the 28-30% range, which would surpass its current 2026 guidance of 23-25% constant currency growth.

Exceeding revenue expectations and providing robust forward guidance demonstrates accelerating growth and market share gains in the competitive sports betting data industry. This validates the 'picks and shovels' investment thesis, signals effective IMG Arena acquisition integration, and justifies a higher valuation multiple, attracting increased investor confidence.

€378 million (19% y/y growth, 21% constant currency y/y growth); Full-year 2026 guidance updated to €1.518 billion to €1.533 billion reported (19% to 21% constant currency growth)

No

While Q2 2026 total revenue grew 19% year-over-year (21% on a constant currency basis), the company updated its full-year 2026 constant currency revenue growth guidance to 19% to 21%. This revised guidance is below the rerating trigger's expectation of 25% or higher constant currency growth, ideally approaching 28-30%, and also below the company's prior 2026 guidance of 23-25%. The downward revision of full-year guidance was a key negative takeaway from the earnings call.

Key Questions

Will Sportradar achieve its revised full-year 2026 guidance of 19-21% constant currency revenue growth and 24-27% constant currency Adjusted EBITDA growth, part

Will Sportradar achieve its revised full-year 2026 guidance of 19-21% constant currency revenue growth and 24-27% constant currency Adjusted EBITDA growth, particularly given the moderation in U.S. market trends and delayed prediction market deal timing, while continuing to exceed IMG Arena revenue synergy targets?

Question 2

Can Sportradar effectively monetize its newly announced multi-year agreements with prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, achieving the anticipated 'tens of millions' uplift in 2026 and a significant ramp-up in 2027/2028, amidst ongoing U.S. regulatory uncertainty and state-level legal challenges?

Question 3

Will Sportradar's new iGaming business, Playradar, successfully launch and gain traction in key markets, demonstrating its potential to significantly expand the addressable market and drive higher player lifetime value by seamlessly connecting sports betting and iGaming experiences?

Earnings Transcript Summary3 rows
· 2026Q2 Earnings Call
3 Things Management Is Most Focused OnCall Takeaway & TonePrior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By Segment3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)Revenue Segments
3 Things Management Is Most Focused On1. **Monetizing IMG ARENA content and expanding premium product offerings:** Management is focused on integrating IMG ARENA rights, capitalizing on revenue synergies (exceeding the 25% target), and expanding premium products like player and micro markets, 4Sight Streaming for major tennis events, and premium golf services. 2. **Capitalizing on prediction markets and rolling out iGaming (Playradar):** Sportradar views prediction markets as a 'natural adjacency' and 'significant opportunity,' expanding the U.S. TAM. They are actively partnering with exchanges like Kalshi and Polymarket. Playradar, their new iGaming business, is a natural extension aiming to connect sports betting and iGaming for higher player lifetime value. 3. **Driving operating leverage, cost efficiencies (leveraging AI), and returning capital to shareholders:** Management is focused on streamlining operations, leveraging AI to automate workflows and enhance product innovation for cost savings, and delivering margin expansion. They are also aggressively returning capital through a $250 million enhanced open market share repurchase program.Call Takeaway & ToneThe overall takeaway of the call was one of **mixed to cautious optimism**. Sportradar reported strong Q2 2026 revenue growth, driven by betting and gaming content and the successful monetization of IMG ARENA rights. However, management revised down its full-year guidance, citing delays in executing prediction market deals, moderation in U.S. market growth, and impacts from increased tax regulation in certain Rest of World territories. Despite these short-term headwinds, management expressed confidence in the long-term growth trajectory, emphasizing the significant opportunities in prediction markets and iGaming, ongoing cost efficiencies through AI, and a commitment to shareholder returns via share repurchases. Analysts probed the reasons for the guidance adjustment and the specifics of the emerging market opportunities, reflecting a desire for more clarity on the path forward.Prior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By SegmentIn Q1 2026, total revenue increased 11% year-over-year. Betting Technology & Solutions grew 11%, with Betting and Gaming Content up 14% and Managed Betting Services down 1%. Sports Content, Technology & Services increased 10%, driven by Marketing and Media Services up 13%. U.S. revenue was up 11%, and Rest of World revenue was up 11%.3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)1. **Guidance revision and U.S. market trends:** Analysts questioned the reasons behind the updated full-year guidance and the underlying U.S. market trends. Management attributed the revision to delayed prediction market deals, the advertising market not fully compensating for a Q1 shortfall, and continued softness in the traditional U.S. sports betting market. They expect a strong second half but not a significant acceleration in the U.S. market. 2. **Prediction market deal structure and future upside:** Analysts inquired about the economics of deals like the one with Kalshi and their implications for future growth. Management stated that prediction market deals typically include both fixed and variable fee components, designed to be accretive and tailored to each partner. They anticipate a significant ramp-up in revenue from prediction markets in 2027 and 2028, with 2026 upside in the 'tens of millions.' 3. **Strategy for long-term rights deals given market volatility and cannibalization from prediction markets:** Analysts asked if Sportradar's strategy for long-term fixed-cost rights deals would change due to market slowdowns and if prediction markets cannibalize traditional sports betting. Management affirmed that their strategy for long-term rights deals remains unchanged, as these rights enable them to capitalize on an expanding addressable market. They also indicated that, according to their clients, there is 'very limited cannibalization' between prediction markets and online sports betting.Revenue SegmentsTotal company revenues increased 19% year-over-year. Betting Technology and Solutions' products revenue increased 21% year-over-year. Within Betting Technology and Solutions, betting and gaming content revenues increased 27%, while Managed Betting Services revenues were in line with the prior year (0% growth). Sports Content, Technology & Services delivered revenues increased 9% year-on-year, driven by growth in Marketing and Media Services. Rest of World revenue increased 20%, and U.S. revenue was up 16% on a reported basis (approximately 22% on a constant currency basis).
· 2025Q4 Earnings Call
3 Things Management Is Most Focused OnCall Takeaway & TonePrior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By Segment3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)Revenue Segments
3 Things Management Is Most Focused On1. **IMG Arena Acquisition Integration and Monetization:** Management is focused on rapidly integrating IMG content, making it available to clients, and unlocking significant revenue synergies. They reported immediate financial uplift and strong customer response, with a target to unlock 25% revenue synergies for IMG in 2026. 2. **Product Innovation and AI-driven Solutions:** Sportradar is heavily investing in and deploying AI, particularly with the generative foundation model for basketball, to enhance products like Foresight streaming, create predictive insights, and expand into new sports. They are also focusing on connecting live betting with iGaming opportunities, as demonstrated in their Brazil test market. 3. **Financial Discipline and Shareholder Value Creation:** Management emphasized strong financial results, significant margin expansion (400 basis points in 2 years), increasing free cash flow (56% conversion), and a strengthened balance sheet. They are aggressively repurchasing shares, increasing the authorization to $1 billion, to capitalize on the perceived disconnect between share price and business fundamentals.Call Takeaway & ToneThe overall takeaway of the call was one of strong operational execution and a confident outlook for future growth. The tone was largely positive and optimistic, with management highlighting robust financial performance in 2025, including record revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, and significant margin expansion. Key themes included the successful and ahead-of-schedule integration and monetization of the IMG Arena acquisition, groundbreaking advancements in AI-driven product innovation, and a strong commitment to shareholder returns through an expanded share repurchase program. Management expressed confidence in accelerating growth in 2026, driven by IMG synergies, the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and emerging opportunities like prediction markets and iGaming, despite acknowledging foreign currency headwinds.Prior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By SegmentIn Q3 2025, total revenue was up 14% (17% on a constant currency basis). Betting Technology & Solutions grew 11%, Managed Betting Services increased 19%, and Betting & Gaming Content was up 8%. Sports Content, Technology & Services saw a 31% increase, with Marketing & Media Services growing 33%. Sports Performance was up 10%. U.S. revenue increased 21%, and Rest of World revenue was up 13%.3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)1. **IMG Arena's Contribution and Synergy Realization:** Analysts inquired about IMG Arena's contribution to current performance and the progress of synergy realization. Management stated that IMG is trending ahead of plan, with a strong pickup in content distribution to tier-one operators and broader product integration. They are ahead of the 25% revenue synergy target for 2026. 2. **Prediction Markets and Regulatory Clarity:** Analysts pressed on Sportradar's strategy and partnerships in the emerging prediction markets, especially regarding official data. Management highlighted their focus on player protection and integrity, working with leagues like NHL, MLS, and UFC to establish frameworks. They are ready to supply official data and products to market makers and exchanges based on a revenue share model once these frameworks are in place, expecting announcements soon. 3. **2026 Guidance and iGaming Opportunities:** Analysts asked if the 2026 guidance reflected any changes due to market volumes and about the iGaming approach. Management confirmed the guidance remains consistent with prior quarter's outlook, with foreign currency being the primary headwind. For iGaming, they are testing in Brazil, aiming to connect live betting with iGaming through their iPlayer and visual overlays, seeing it as a significant opportunity for customer acquisition and value.Revenue SegmentsFor the full year 2025, total company revenue increased 17% to $1.3 billion. U.S. revenue was up 23% year-on-year, and the rest of the world revenue increased 15%. For the fourth quarter 2025, total company revenue grew 20% (22% on a constant currency basis) to $369 million. Betting technology and solutions products revenue increased 24% to $305 million, driven by 29% growth in betting and gaming content and 5% growth in managed betting services. Sports content, technology and services delivered revenues of $63 million, increasing 5% year-over-year, led by a 13% increase in marketing and media services. Full-year sports performance revenue growth accelerated to 8%, though Q4 saw a decline due to timing. U.S. revenue in Q4 was up 11% (18% on a constant currency basis), and rest of world revenue was up 23%.
· 2025Q3 Earnings Call
3 Things Management Is Most Focused OnCall Takeaway & TonePrior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By Segment3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)Revenue Segments
3 Things Management Is Most Focused On1. **IMG Arena Acquisition Integration and Monetization:** Management is highly focused on seamlessly integrating IMG Arena's premium content and rights into Sportradar's scalable technology platform and client network to fuel the next leg of growth and maximize revenue synergies in both the short and long term. They expect it to accelerate growth and be accretive to adjusted EBITDA margins and free cash flow. 2. **Innovation and Next-Generation Products:** Sportradar is driving innovation, particularly with AI breakthroughs like the generative foundation model for basketball, to create personalized and interactive experiences. This includes enhancing products like 4Sight Streaming and developing new applications for coaching, scouting, and advanced visualizations. 3. **Driving Operating Leverage, Margin Expansion, and Free Cash Flow:** Management emphasized their focus on cost efficiencies and stable sports rights costs to generate record adjusted EBITDA margins (29% in Q3) and significant free cash flow (72% conversion year-to-date). They anticipate sustained margin expansion and robust free cash flow growth for the full year and beyond.Call Takeaway & ToneThe overall takeaway of the call was one of strong execution and continued momentum, with a **positive and confident tone**. Key themes included the strategic importance and expected benefits of the IMG Arena acquisition, significant advancements in AI-driven product innovation, and robust financial performance characterized by strong revenue growth, expanding adjusted EBITDA margins, and excellent free cash flow conversion. Management expressed confidence in their growth strategy and ability to drive long-term shareholder value, while also addressing emerging market dynamics like prediction markets with a cautious but opportunistic stance.Prior Quarter'S Y/Y Growth By SegmentTotal Revenue: up 14%. Betting Technology & Solutions: up 12%. Managed Betting Services: up 21%. Betting & Gaming Content: up 10%. Sports Content, Technology & Services: up 22%. Marketing & Media Services: up 16%. Integrity Services: nearly doubled (92%). Sports Performance: up 24%. U.S. revenue: up 30%. Rest of World revenue: up 9%.3 Things Analysts Most Pressed On (And Mgmt Responses)1. **IMG Arena's Contribution to Guidance and Synergies:** Analysts questioned the breakdown of the 2025 guidance raise between IMG Arena and organic business, and when significant revenue synergies from cross-selling to Sportradar's larger client base would materialize. Management clarified that the majority of the 2025 revenue increase is from IMG, while the majority of the EBITDA increase is from the base business. They expect significant revenue synergies from existing clients to build throughout 2026, as discussions with clients started immediately after the deal closed. 2. **Prediction Markets:** Analysts pressed on Sportradar's view and involvement in the emerging prediction markets, especially given recent developments with league partners like the NHL. Management acknowledged the active discussions with all stakeholders (leagues, regulators, sportsbooks) to establish a clear framework focusing on responsible gaming, integrity, and player protection. They see prediction markets as a potential complementary, incremental opportunity, primarily for high-volume, limited matches (like NFL) rather than live betting, and are ready to participate once the regulatory framework is clear. 3. **iGaming Opportunity and Capital Requirements:** Analysts inquired about Sportradar's strategy and potential for iGaming. Management stated it's currently a test period in Brazil, focusing on a holistic 360-degree approach from client acquisition to retention. They believe it's a natural fit given their client connections and technology. Regarding capital, they are considering both organic investments in game development and M&A opportunities, with any acquisition needing to be accretive to their margin.Revenue SegmentsTotal Revenue: up 14% (17% on a constant currency basis). Betting Technology & Solutions: up 11%. Managed Betting Services: up 19%. Betting & Gaming Content: up 8% (double digits without foreign currency headwinds). Sports Content, Technology & Services: up 31%. Marketing & Media Services: up 33%. Integrity Services: more than doubled. Sports Performance: up 10%. U.S. revenue: up 21%. Rest of World revenue: up 13%.
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About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketSportradar is expanding its addressable market by capitalizing on prediction markets and rolling out iGaming, which expands the U.S. TAM by opening new states, attracting new players, and increasing engagement with sports. The company secured a multiyear global agreement with Kalshi as an official sports data and solution provider for major sports including MLB, ATP, NHL, MLS, and UFC. Additionally, Sportradar entered a multiyear agreement with Polymarket for the ATP tour, providing streaming, real-time data, odds, fan engagement, customer acquisition, and integrity services. The newly established Playradar iGaming business is a natural extension, as a player engaging in both sports betting and iGaming can generate up to 5x the lifetime value of a sports betting-only player. Sportradar is creating differentiated entertainment experiences that seamlessly connect sports betting and iGaming, such as 24/7 live experiences where players can watch live sports and engage with complementary casino games or make real-time predictions. The company is also gamifying historical sports content, starting with ATP. Sportradar has secured iGaming regulatory certification across multiple jurisdictions in South America, Europe, and Canada, with plans to expand into additional major European markets and several U.S. states throughout the remainder of the year. Managed Trading Services (MTS) saw strong Q2 turnover benefiting from major U.S. sports playoffs and the World Cup group stages, managing approximately $56 billion of turnover on a trailing 12-month basis, up 26% compared to the prior period. Affiliate Marketing delivered its strongest month on record in June, driven by strong demand from North America sports book clients and prediction market exchanges. Monetization of IMG ARENA content is on track to exceed the previously communicated revenue synergy target of 25%. Sportradar expanded its premium product offering by launching player and micro markets, and 4Sight Streaming for Roland-Garros and the upcoming U.S. Open, and rolled out its premium golf service for the PGA. The company also secured a multiyear expansion for exclusive data and audiovisual betting rights for Wimbledon. Prediction market deals are poised to accelerate growth in the back half of the year, with an anticipated upside in the tens of millions for this year and significantly higher next year.About CompetitionSportradar is positioned as a mission-critical provider at the intersection of sports betting and media industries, uniquely positioned to capitalize on evolving markets and new opportunities like prediction markets. The Audit Committee, with legal counsel, reviewed short seller allegations and determined they presented a misleading narrative, affirming Sportradar's rigorous compliance framework and contractual protections. The company has received various regulatory approvals for both betting and iGaming and has secured rights from major sports organizations like Wimbledon and the German DFB, demonstrating high market respect. Sportradar believes its ability to create differentiated iGaming experiences by seamlessly connecting live sports content with iGaming is unique, stating, "Nobody in the world has this." The company aims to outperform the market and continue to take market share. Prediction markets are perceived to have very limited cannibalization of online sports betting (OSB), especially in states where OSB cannot operate.About The Broader IndustryThe U.S. market growth is experiencing moderation due to no significant state openings, and certain Rest of the World territories are seeing impacts from increased tax regulation. Prediction markets are identified as an emerging and fast-growing segment of the sports market. Operators are increasingly focused on driving greater crossover between sports betting and iGaming, recognizing that a player who engages in both can generate up to 5x the lifetime value of a sports betting-only player. Globally, there is a tightening of tax regimes, with the U.K. and Brazil experiencing non-beneficial tax rates this year, though no major obstacles are foreseen for 2027. The U.S. prediction market landscape faces regulatory uncertainty and pushback from state Attorneys General, such as in New York. Despite some choppiness, the combined market for OSB and prediction markets is considered to be in a relatively good place. The World Cup group stages were positive, generating 2.5 billion turnover and 350 million tickets, with a significant portion coming from LatAm and North America. The World Cup final, which falls in Q3, was record-breaking and highly profitable due to a draw after 90 minutes.Where Things Are HeadedSportradar is updating its full year guidance to reflect moderation in U.S. market growth and impacts from tax regulation, while remaining confident in its long-term growth ability. The company expects to exceed its previously communicated revenue synergy target of 25% for IMG ARENA. Active conversations are ongoing across the prediction markets ecosystem, with additional commercial deals anticipated in the coming months. Playradar, the iGaming business, is in its early lifecycle stage, with a larger launch planned for the end of September in Lisbon, aiming to integrate its ePlayer, live content, and iGaming experiences. Expansion of iGaming into additional major European markets and several U.S. states is expected throughout the remainder of the year. Sportradar continues to focus on driving increased operating leverage and cost efficiencies, leveraging AI to automate workflows, enhance coding and data collection, and accelerate product innovation. The company is confident in its ability to deliver durable revenue growth, capitalize on the expanding addressable market (prediction markets and iGaming), expand operating leverage, and generate strong cash flow for long-term shareholder value. Sportradar anticipates an acceleration of growth in the second half of the year, driven by further capitalization of IMG synergies, expansion through prediction markets, and global customer renewals. For the full year 2026, constant currency revenue growth is anticipated to be between 19% and 21%, translating to EUR 1.518 billion and EUR 1.533 billion reported. Adjusted EBITDA growth is projected at 24% to 27% on a constant currency basis, or EUR 360 million to EUR 368 million reported. The strongest revenue growth in 2026 is expected in the third quarter due to sporting event timing and IMG content, though adjusted EBITDA margins are anticipated to be down year-on-year in Q3 due to IMG content seasonality. For 2027, the fundamentals of the business remain strong, with expectations for continued market outperformance, margin expansion, and free cash flow generation. Prediction market deals are expected to provide a bigger benefit to 2027 and 2028, with a significant ramp-up. The overall opportunity from prediction markets is now viewed as higher than three months ago. A new feed optimized for lowest latency for market makers will roll out with the U.S. Open and the start of the NBA season. No major tax obstacles are foreseen for 2027. While M&A focus is on iGaming, share repurchases are currently considered the best use of capital given the perceived disconnect between share price and business fundamentals.Updates On ThemeDataBroader Themes EmergingThe convergence of live sports content, iGaming, and advertising is creating new avenues for customer acquisition and monetization across industries. The evolving regulatory landscape for emerging betting formats like prediction markets, and the universal emphasis on player protection and integrity, are critical broader themes. The increasing usage of AI across business operations for automation, coding, data collection, and product innovation is a significant emerging theme.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Sportradar is a mission-critical provider position at the intersection of sports betting and media industries. Today, company revenues increased 19% year-over-year. We delivered an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% and generated significant free cash flow. We remain on track to exceed our previously communicated revenue synergy target of 25%. Managed Trading Services... strong Q2 turnover to benefit from major U.S. sports playoffs as well as the World Cup group stages. Affiliate Marketing delivered its strongest months on record in June. Prediction markets... expands the U.S. TAM by opening up new states, attracting new players and increasing engagement with sports. A player who engages in both sports betting and iGaming can generate up to 5x the lifetime value of a sports betting-only player. We are confident in our ability to capitalize on the expanding addressable market. The fundamentals of our business remain strong. We will continue to outperform the market in 2027. The overall opportunity from prediction markets continues to be something that we're really excited about. We expect these prediction market deals to be positive for us. From a cannibalization aspect, there is very little cannibalization in there. There's no better use of our resources than to buy back shares at this point.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)We are continuing to see moderation in the U.S. market growth... as well as some impacts in certain Rest of the World territories due to increased tax regulation. We are updating our full year guidance to reflect some of these trends. The revenue growth in the quarter was negatively impacted by the slower growth from traditional U.S. sports books as well as the impact of foreign currency headwinds. We generated a net loss for the quarter of EUR 4 million versus a profit of EUR 49 million in the second quarter a year ago. We also recognized restructuring costs of EUR 11 million related to the efficiency initiatives. Adjusted EBIT margins will be down in Q3 year-on-year. The prediction market deals having got some time to come to completion. So as a result, the timing of that delayed some of those revenues. You layer on some softness that we're continuing to see in the underlying U.S. market. The product is on a very early stage of its life cycle. The challenge that you get when you have a little bit of a softer quarter is ultimately, you do see some margin degradation. Tax regimes have been not really very beneficial from the point of our clients. There seems to be some pushback now among state AGs, I think New York comes to mind.HiringAdjusted personnel expenses were down 4% year-on-year despite the inclusion of IMG headcount, as the company is realizing benefits from a cost efficiency initiative announced last quarter and from a reduced bonus accrual. Sportradar has further streamlined its operating structure, better aligning resources with strategic priorities, and will continue to capitalize on efficiencies. A key enabler of this effort is the increasing usage of AI across the business.
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketSportradar is leveraging the IMG acquisition to make content available to its client base, unlocking significant revenue synergies by distributing it across hundreds of operators, compared to IMG's previous 50-60. The company is on track to achieve 25% revenue synergies from IMG in 2026 and is expanding IMG content into next-gen offerings like Foresight, Micro Markets, Player Props, and Virtual Live Match Tracker. Sportradar's sports coverage is unmatched, covering over 1 million matches annually, and it anticipates streaming over 700,000 matches in 2026, up from 525,000 in 2025. Managed Trading Services (MTS) turnover was up 26% year-over-year to $52 billion, making Sportradar a top bookmaker globally. The ads business saw DSP volume grow 35% year-over-year, reflecting increased demand for data-driven advertising. Sportradar is partnering with GenAI leaders to provide deeper insights and real-time updates through its data and media APIs. Prediction markets in the U.S. represent a rapidly developing opportunity, and Sportradar is uniquely positioned to capitalize on it as a B2B leader, with agreements secured with NHL, MLS, and UFC to supply official data. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is expected to be a meaningful opportunity for the betting industry and the company, with nearly double the teams and over 100 matches, potentially exceeding $35 billion in turnover. Sportradar is also testing iGaming in Brazil, aiming to connect live betting and iGaming, noting that an iGaming player can generate approximately four times the value of a sports bettor.About CompetitionSportradar's IMG acquisition has further strengthened its competitive position as a scaled leader in the industry. The company's Managed Trading Services (MTS) achieved a margin of nearly 11% for its clients in 2025, driven by proven AI-driven trading and risk management capabilities and diverse sports on its platform. Sportradar's global scale and distribution network across hundreds of operators provide a competitive advantage in monetizing content. When asked about a large-scale M&A transaction by a competitor, Sportradar's CEO stated they did not pursue that deal, indicating a disciplined approach to acquisitions. In the context of prediction markets, it was noted that Betfair, after more than 25 years, has not gained a dominant share, suggesting the complexity of this market.About The Broader IndustryThe sports betting industry is seeing a rapid expansion globally, with a significant shift in sports viewership from linear to digital and mobile streaming. GenAI companies are increasingly looking to integrate live sports data and insights to engage their audiences. Prediction markets are a rapidly developing opportunity in the U.S., though the regulatory landscape remains complex with ongoing discussions among leagues, regulators, and sportsbooks to establish clear safeguards and standards for player protection and integrity. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is anticipated to be a meaningful opportunity for the betting industry due to an increased number of teams and matches. There is a general agreement among stakeholders that safeguards for player protection and integrity are crucial for the growth of prediction markets. Sportradar's partners like FanDuel and DraftKings reportedly see little to no cannibalization between prediction markets and online sports betting. The value of an iGaming player is estimated to be roughly four times that of a sports bettor, highlighting a significant opportunity in connecting live betting with iGaming.Where Things Are HeadedSportradar anticipates continued strong momentum in 2026, driven by its growth strategy and leveraging IMG's content across its customer base and product suite to realize significant revenue synergies. The company expects to accelerate growth in 2026, with total company revenue growth projected to be in the range of 23%-25% on a constant currency basis. Adjusted EBITDA is forecast to be $390 million-$400 million, with approximately 200-225 basis points of margin expansion in 2026. Free cash flow conversion is expected to grow above the 56% delivered in 2025. The strongest revenue growth in 2026 is anticipated in the second and third quarters due to the timing of sporting events, with foreign currency headwinds being most significant in the first quarter. Sportradar plans to expand its generative foundation model to additional sports, including soccer for the World Cup and tennis later in 2026. The company is in detailed commercial discussions regarding prediction markets and expects to announce more soon, with an anticipated uplift opportunity in the tens of millions of dollars. Share repurchases will continue aggressively, with the board approving an increase in authorization to $1 billion, allowing for a more opportunistic approach if the valuation gap persists. Cost synergies from IMG are expected to be phased, with more margin opportunities in the back half of 2026 and continued build-up into 2027.Updates On ThemeGamblingBroader Themes EmergingThe pervasive impact of Generative AI on internal operations, including engineering and content production, is a significant emerging theme, with AI-supported coding and AI agents replacing human tasks. The convergence of live sports content, iGaming, and advertising is creating new avenues for customer acquisition and monetization across industries. The evolving regulatory landscape for emerging betting formats like prediction markets, and the universal emphasis on player protection and integrity, are critical broader themes.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)In 2025, we delivered strong financial results while generating continued momentum across our business. Adjusted EBITDA margins have expanded approximately 400 basis points in the past 2 years, and we see a long runway ahead for further expansion. Our board of directors has approved a significant increase in our share repurchase authorization, raising the total planned capacity from $300 million to a total of $1 billion. This early and significant progress puts us firmly on track to unlock anticipated revenue synergies of 25% for IMG in 2026. One of the most exciting recent AI breakthroughs, the development of a generative foundation model for basketball, a first of its kind in sports. Turnover for 2025 was up 26% year-over-year to $52 billion, making us a top bookmaker globally. Prediction markets are an exciting new avenue of growth for our company. For the full year 2026, we anticipate total company revenue growth to be in the range of 23%-25% on a constant currency basis. We anticipate Adjusted EBITDA of $390 million-$400 million and approximately 200-225 basis points of margin expansion in 2026. We have already acquired an additional $60 million of stock in the first two months of 2026. We expect movements very soon from the partners which I mentioned here into a direction that they will allow us to deploy official data and the products based on this data, which are even more exciting.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or trends to differ materially from our forecast. Foreign currency movements... continue to be a headwind, and revenue growth in the fourth quarter would have been approximately 22% on a constant currency basis. Foreign currency will be a headwind at current rates. For the most part, any significant deal associated with prediction markets is not included in that guidance. The biggest reason for what I would say is lower flow through is that we are now fully incorporating IMG as if it is new revenue. There were some significant savings that happened in the fourth quarter, some of which will move into the first quarter and some of which will not repeat. The revenue opportunity will really depend on the quantity and quality of the revenue that we are maintaining.HiringAdjusted personnel expenses were up 9% year-over-year, driven primarily by IMG costs and to a lesser extent, increased headcount to support growth opportunities. However, adjusted personnel expenses continued to decline as a percentage of revenue, as the company closely manages headcount and focuses talent on profitable growth opportunities. The CEO referenced Steve Ballmer's quote about 70% redundancy in 18 months, highlighting the transformative impact of AI. Internally, 100% of engineering code is now AI-supported, increasing lead time by 20%, and 50% of content is produced by AI agents, indicating a shift towards AI-driven operations that could impact traditional roles. Sportradar has also acquired top AI and GenAI talent from Google.
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketSportradar is leveraging the IMG acquisition to make content available to its client base, unlocking significant revenue synergies by distributing it across hundreds of operators, compared to IMG's previous 50-60. The company is on track to achieve 25% revenue synergies from IMG in 2026 and is expanding IMG content into next-gen offerings like Foresight, Micro Markets, Player Props, and Virtual Live Match Tracker. Sportradar's sports coverage is unmatched, covering over 1 million matches annually, and it anticipates streaming over 700,000 matches in 2026, up from 525,000 in 2025. Managed Trading Services (MTS) turnover was up 26% year-over-year to $52 billion, making Sportradar a top bookmaker globally. The ads business saw DSP volume grow 35% year-over-year, reflecting increased demand for data-driven advertising. Sportradar is partnering with GenAI leaders to provide deeper insights and real-time updates through its data and media APIs. Prediction markets in the U.S. represent a rapidly developing opportunity, and Sportradar is uniquely positioned to capitalize on it as a B2B leader, with agreements secured with NHL, MLS, and UFC to supply official data. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is expected to be a meaningful opportunity for the betting industry and the company, with nearly double the teams and over 100 matches, potentially exceeding $35 billion in turnover. Sportradar is also testing iGaming in Brazil, aiming to connect live betting and iGaming, noting that an iGaming player can generate approximately four times the value of a sports bettor.About CompetitionSportradar's IMG acquisition has further strengthened its competitive position as a scaled leader in the industry. The company's Managed Trading Services (MTS) achieved a margin of nearly 11% for its clients in 2025, driven by proven AI-driven trading and risk management capabilities and diverse sports on its platform. Sportradar's global scale and distribution network across hundreds of operators provide a competitive advantage in monetizing content. When asked about a large-scale M&A transaction by a competitor, Sportradar's CEO stated they did not pursue that deal, indicating a disciplined approach to acquisitions. In the context of prediction markets, it was noted that Betfair, after more than 25 years, has not gained a dominant share, suggesting the complexity of this market.About The Broader IndustryThe sports betting industry is seeing a rapid expansion globally, with a significant shift in sports viewership from linear to digital and mobile streaming. GenAI companies are increasingly looking to integrate live sports data and insights to engage their audiences. Prediction markets are a rapidly developing opportunity in the U.S., though the regulatory landscape remains complex with ongoing discussions among leagues, regulators, and sportsbooks to establish clear safeguards and standards for player protection and integrity. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is anticipated to be a meaningful opportunity for the betting industry due to an increased number of teams and matches. There is a general agreement among stakeholders that safeguards for player protection and integrity are crucial for the growth of prediction markets. Sportradar's partners like FanDuel and DraftKings reportedly see little to no cannibalization between prediction markets and online sports betting. The value of an iGaming player is estimated to be roughly four times that of a sports bettor, highlighting a significant opportunity in connecting live betting with iGaming.Where Things Are HeadedSportradar anticipates continued strong momentum in 2026, driven by its growth strategy and leveraging IMG's content across its customer base and product suite to realize significant revenue synergies. The company expects to accelerate growth in 2026, with total company revenue growth projected to be in the range of 23%-25% on a constant currency basis. Adjusted EBITDA is forecast to be $390 million-$400 million, with approximately 200-225 basis points of margin expansion in 2026. Free cash flow conversion is expected to grow above the 56% delivered in 2025. The strongest revenue growth in 2026 is anticipated in the second and third quarters due to the timing of sporting events, with foreign currency headwinds being most significant in the first quarter. Sportradar plans to expand its generative foundation model to additional sports, including soccer for the World Cup and tennis later in 2026. The company is in detailed commercial discussions regarding prediction markets and expects to announce more soon, with an anticipated uplift opportunity in the tens of millions of dollars. Share repurchases will continue aggressively, with the board approving an increase in authorization to $1 billion, allowing for a more opportunistic approach if the valuation gap persists. Cost synergies from IMG are expected to be phased, with more margin opportunities in the back half of 2026 and continued build-up into 2027.Updates On ThemeGamblingBroader Themes EmergingThe pervasive impact of Generative AI on internal operations, including engineering and content production, is a significant emerging theme, with AI-supported coding and AI agents replacing human tasks. The convergence of live sports content, iGaming, and advertising is creating new avenues for customer acquisition and monetization across industries. The evolving regulatory landscape for emerging betting formats like prediction markets, and the universal emphasis on player protection and integrity, are critical broader themes.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)In 2025, we delivered strong financial results while generating continued momentum across our business. Adjusted EBITDA margins have expanded approximately 400 basis points in the past 2 years, and we see a long runway ahead for further expansion. Our board of directors has approved a significant increase in our share repurchase authorization, raising the total planned capacity from $300 million to a total of $1 billion. This early and significant progress puts us firmly on track to unlock anticipated revenue synergies of 25% for IMG in 2026. One of the most exciting recent AI breakthroughs, the development of a generative foundation model for basketball, a first of its kind in sports. Turnover for 2025 was up 26% year-over-year to $52 billion, making us a top bookmaker globally. Prediction markets are an exciting new avenue of growth for our company. For the full year 2026, we anticipate total company revenue growth to be in the range of 23%-25% on a constant currency basis. We anticipate Adjusted EBITDA of $390 million-$400 million and approximately 200-225 basis points of margin expansion in 2026. We have already acquired an additional $60 million of stock in the first two months of 2026. We expect movements very soon from the partners which I mentioned here into a direction that they will allow us to deploy official data and the products based on this data, which are even more exciting.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or trends to differ materially from our forecast. Foreign currency movements... continue to be a headwind, and revenue growth in the fourth quarter would have been approximately 22% on a constant currency basis. Foreign currency will be a headwind at current rates. For the most part, any significant deal associated with prediction markets is not included in that guidance. The biggest reason for what I would say is lower flow through is that we are now fully incorporating IMG as if it is new revenue. There were some significant savings that happened in the fourth quarter, some of which will move into the first quarter and some of which will not repeat. The revenue opportunity will really depend on the quantity and quality of the revenue that we are maintaining.HiringAdjusted personnel expenses were up 9% year-over-year, driven primarily by IMG costs and to a lesser extent, increased headcount to support growth opportunities. However, adjusted personnel expenses continued to decline as a percentage of revenue, as the company closely manages headcount and focuses talent on profitable growth opportunities. The CEO referenced Steve Ballmer's quote about 70% redundancy in 18 months, highlighting the transformative impact of AI. Internally, 100% of engineering code is now AI-supported, increasing lead time by 20%, and 50% of content is produced by AI agents, indicating a shift towards AI-driven operations that could impact traditional roles. Sportradar has also acquired top AI and GenAI talent from Google.
About Expanding Eligible MarketAbout CompetitionAbout The Broader IndustryWhere Things Are HeadedUpdates On ThemeBroader Themes EmergingBullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Hiring
About Expanding Eligible MarketSportradar is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the rapid expansion of the global sports betting market, driving higher take rates by growing products and content and accelerating innovation. The IMG Arena acquisition is highly strategic, aligning with the core business and expected to fuel the next leg of growth by strengthening Sportradar's competitive position as a scaled leader at the intersection of sports, media, and betting, bringing premium content and enhancing the global portfolio. This acquisition adds must-have content and data, powering generation, growing NPS trading liquidity, and scaling video streams. The company renewed and extended its deal with the Spanish Football Federation until 2032 for international media rights. In 2026, Managed Trading Services (MTS) clients will be a clear focus for upselling and cross-selling capabilities. The ads business delivered record volumes on its DSP, reflecting growing demand for data-driven advertising solutions. Sportradar recently signed deals with U.S. regional sports networks and national broadcasters to integrate data APIs, streaming products, and advanced analytics, and partnered with DAZN for data and broadcast services across multiple sports. Partnerships with Google and Yahoo! were extended and expanded for sports analytics and data. Prediction markets are seen as a potential complement to the existing business, creating incremental opportunities if the market aligns with regulatory standards. Sportradar is also testing iGaming in Brazil with a holistic approach, aiming to expand into scalable markets like the U.S. The IMG Arena acquisition allows Sportradar to upsell and cross-sell to an additional 700 to 800 global gaming clients beyond IMG's existing customer base.About CompetitionThe IMG Arena acquisition further strengthens Sportradar's competitive position as the scaled leader at the intersection of sports, media, and betting. Sportradar's Managed Trading Services (MTS) capabilities, with its scale of trading volume and number of betting tickets managed, provide a clear competitive advantage in risk management over major operators. In the context of prediction markets, it was noted that Betfair, after more than 25 years, has not gained a dominant share in the market, and a similar trend is expected in the United States, with prediction markets being more limited to fewer games. The mechanism of prediction markets is described as significantly more complicated than traditional sports betting, where bookmakers hold the risk and can price virtually everything, including live betting and parlays. Online sportsbooks view unregulated prediction market operators in states where they cannot operate as illegal sports betting, highlighting a competitive concern regarding equal competition.About The Broader IndustryThe global sports betting market is experiencing rapid expansion. There is a clear trend in the fragmented media environment where clients are increasingly turning to Sportradar to enhance fan engagement across mobile streaming and connected TV platforms. Betting is no longer viewed as a standalone experience but as an integral part of how fans engage with sport, with fan behavior becoming more interactive and sports viewership transitioning from linear to digital and mobile streaming. The emerging prediction market situation in the U.S. is complex due to uncertainty regarding state versus federal regulation, and a clear rule set is currently lacking. Integrity and protection of the game are of the highest interest for all stakeholders in the sports industry. There is a huge live betting trend worldwide, with roughly 70% of wagers being placed live. Prediction markets, while efficient for a limited number of high-liquidity matches like the Super Bowl, do not work well for live betting due to liquidity issues across a vast number of games. The rise of prediction markets is seen as a potential accelerator for sports betting legalization in large unregulated states like Texas and California, which represent a significant portion of the U.S. economy.Where Things Are HeadedSportradar is raising its full-year 2025 guidance and providing initial thoughts for 2026, underscoring accelerating growth and value creation. The Board of Directors authorized increasing the share repurchase program by EUR 100 million, bringing the total to EUR 300 million. The IMG Arena acquisition is expected to fuel the next leg of growth, accelerate overall growth, and be accretive to adjusted EBITDA margins and free cash flow. Sportradar plans to seamlessly integrate and monetize IMG's rights across its scalable technology platform and client network. The company is leading the shift towards more personalized and interactive experiences, delivering next-generation products that shape how fans view, bet, and connect with sports. A generative foundation model for basketball is expected to power next-generation products, including coaching and scouting analytics, realistic simulating betting products, advanced visualizations for media and broadcast, and advanced AI engines for sport video games. Managed Trading Services (MTS) will be a clear focus for upselling and cross-selling in 2026. For full-year 2025, Sportradar anticipates revenues of at least EUR 1.290 billion (at least 17% growth) and adjusted EBITDA of at least EUR 290 million (at least 30% growth). For 2026, revenue growth, including IMG, is expected to accelerate to a 23% to 25% range on a constant currency basis, with an additional 250 basis points of margin expansion. The company's capital allocation priority remains investing in long-term growth, weighing share repurchases against organic and M&A investment opportunities. Sportradar is actively testing iGaming in Brazil and plans to expand this service into scalable markets like the U.S. once the product is strong enough, considering both organic investments and M&A.Updates On ThemeGamblingBroader Themes EmergingGenerative AI in sports analytics and gaming, personalized and interactive fan experiences, the ongoing shift from linear to digital and mobile streaming for sports viewership, the convergence of sports, media, and betting, and the evolving regulatory landscape and opportunities presented by emerging betting formats like prediction markets.Bullish-Leaning Quotes (Short)I'm pleased to announce another quarter of strong execution and performance. Our results further underscore our scale and position as a mission-critical partner deeply embedded in the global sports ecosystem. We achieved record quarter 3 revenues of EUR 292 million and strong flow-through with 29% growth in adjusted EBITDA and a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 29%. We are raising our full year '25 guidance... underscoring our accelerating growth and value creation. IMG Arena is a highly strategic acquisition, which aligns with our core business and will fuel our next leg of growth. This acquisition is expected to accelerate our growth while being accretive to our adjusted EBITDA margins and free cash flow from conversion. When it comes to global sports coverage, we are the clear leader, and this is further enhanced with IMG. One of our most exciting recent AI breakthroughs is the development of a generative foundation model for basketball, a first of its kind in sport. Turnover for the quarter was up 25% year-over-year. We now anticipate revenues of at least EUR 1.290 billion, representing year-over-year growth of at least 17% and adjusted EBITDA of at least EUR 290 million, representing growth of at least 30% versus 2024. We currently anticipate 2026 revenue growth, including IMG, to accelerate to 23% to 25% range on a constant currency basis. Current expectations for the consolidated company is an additional 250 basis points of margin expansion in 2026.Bearish-Leaning Quotes (Short)Foreign currency movements... continue to be a headwind and revenue growth in the third quarter would have been 17% on a constant currency basis. Prediction markets... their share has been limited historically given the low liquidity and the challenge pricing more complex bets, including in-game wages. The emerging market situation in the U.S. is a bit different given the current uncertainty regarding state versus federal regulation. Integrity is not really a service which is driving strong profits for us. We see some impact when you have only favorites winning in soccer... the first quarter was a bit weaker because of this from a trading result. Betfair is more than 25 years in the market. It didn't gain a dominant share in this market in the 25 years. It doesn't work for live betting.HiringAdjusted personnel expenses were up only 4% year-on-year, driven primarily by increased headcount to support growth opportunities. However, adjusted personnel expenses continued to decline as a percentage of revenue, down 260 basis points versus Q3 last year, indicating a focus on managing headcount to ensure talent and resources are directed towards the most profitable growth opportunities and unlocking additional operating leverage. The company emphasizes using existing talent more efficiently rather than significant new hiring, stating that the days of adding mid-to-high teens people every year are behind them, and they will focus talent where it matters most.
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DateCommentComment TypeComment SentimentLinkPrice Reaction
2026-03-03Sportradar reported strong Q4 and full-year 2025 results, including record revenue, significant EBITDA growth, and an expanded $1 billion share repurchase plan. Management provided aggressive 2026 guidance, anticipating accelerated growth and successful IMG integration. However, the market reacted negatively, with shares declining over 6% due to missing consensus EPS and revenue estimates, contradicting the company's optimistic outlook.OtherNeutralDeferred (realtime snapshot stale)
2026-08-03Sportradar's Q2 2026 saw strong revenue and exceeded IMG Arena synergy targets, with new prediction market and iGaming deals. However, full-year guidance was cut due to U.S. market moderation, delayed deal timing, and tax headwinds. The market reacted negatively, with the stock dropping 13.00% (underperforming SPY), signaling investor concern over short-term challenges despite management's long-term confidence.Earnings TranscriptNegative-13.00% (vs SPY: -14.60%)
Upcoming Events9 rows
Catalyst IDEstimated TimingEstimated Date StartEstimated Date EndCatalystWhy It MattersTicker Or Theme SpecificTranscript DateSource Type
SRAD_699f5a0cend of September in Lisbon at the SBC2026-09-252026-09-30Sportradar will officially launch and present its new iGaming business, Playradar, at the SBC Summit in Lisbon, with Michael Jordan on stage.This marks the formal public launch of a new growth pillar, expected to create differentiated entertainment experiences and expand the addressable market by connecting live sports betting and iGaming.Ticker2026-08-03earnings_transcript
SRAD_0bd8fc36early next month2026-09-012026-09-15Completion of Sportradar's $250 million enhanced open market share repurchase program.This demonstrates management's continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders and signals confidence in the company's valuation and long-term prospects.Ticker2026-08-03earnings_transcript
SRAD_3563ae10with the U.S. open, but also with the start of the NBA season2026-08-262026-10-28Sportradar will roll out a special low-latency data feed optimized for prediction market makers, starting with the U.S. Open and the NBA season.This new product leverages Sportradar's deep data and technical abilities to provide high-value, low-latency information crucial for market makers, opening new revenue streams within the prediction markets.Ticker2026-08-03earnings_transcript
SRAD_38c5267e2027 MLB season2026-10-012027-03-31Potential lockout for the 2027 MLB season.Could impact Sportradar's content availability and associated revenue, although management expects limited impact due to replacement content and contract provisions.Ticker2026-03-03earnings_transcript
SRAD_885edbb1the majority of the meaningful revenue and cost synergies we anticipate as we integrate IMG's portfolio of rights will be recognized in 2026.2026-01-012026-12-31Realization of the majority of revenue and cost synergies from the IMG Arena acquisition.Achievement of these synergies is crucial for Sportradar to meet its 2026 guidance of 23-25% revenue growth and 250 bps margin expansion, validating the acquisition and impacting profitability.Ticker2025-11-06earnings_transcript
SRAD_2662eeebup in early '272026-02-272027-01-31Renewal and potential expansion of Sportradar's sports rights contract with UEFA.Securing this key content deal is vital for maintaining Sportradar's competitive position and revenue streams, with expansion potentially driving incremental revenue and strengthening its product portfolio.Ticker2025-11-06earnings_transcript
SRAD_1a132792for the World Cup and tennis later this year2026-06-012026-12-31Expansion of Sportradar's generative AI foundation model to soccer (for the World Cup) and tennis.Leverages advanced AI to enhance product offerings, potentially creating new revenue streams and strengthening competitive advantage in data analytics and visualizations.Ticker2026-03-03earnings_transcript
SRAD_b6aaf1bcat the moment, test period2026-02-272027-12-31Sportradar's strategic decision and execution to expand its iGaming offerings into scalable markets, potentially through organic investment or M&A.Successful expansion into iGaming could open a significant new revenue stream and diversify Sportradar's business, leveraging its existing client relationships and technology.Ticker2025-11-06earnings_transcript
SRAD_8677fe0bcurrent uncertainty regarding state versus federal regulation2026-02-272026-12-31Development of clear regulatory frameworks for prediction markets in the U.S. and potential acceleration of traditional sports betting legalization in new states.Regulatory clarity could unlock new revenue opportunities for Sportradar by enabling its participation in prediction markets and expanding its core business through broader sports betting legalization.Theme2025-11-06earnings_transcript
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