| GeneSight Average Revenue Per Test (ASP) Trends | GeneSight's robust performance and improving reimbursement trends provide a stable foundation, enabling strategic investments in other growth areas and contributing significantly to overall revenue and profitability targets. | GeneSight revenue growth relative to volume growth in Q2 2026 (24% Y/Y revenue growth on 7% volume growth in Q1 2026) and subsequent quarterly earnings reports. Management commentary on progress with health plans in biomarker law states and additional coverage opportunities. Q1 2026 ASP is considered a baseline. | Bullish: Continued sequential improvement in GeneSight ASP, or sustained high Y/Y revenue growth (e.g., above 20%) on moderate volume growth (e.g., mid-single digits). Bearish: Stagnation or decline in GeneSight ASP, or significant deceleration in revenue growth despite stable volume. | Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 8-K, 10-Q), and subsequent quarterly earnings calls (e.g., Q3 2026 earnings call expected November 4, 2026). | [] | 1. IQVIA / Symphony Health — Medical Claims DataMatchediqvia_medical_claims · access=file · map_only Metric/field CPT code utilization for GeneSight test Cadence monthly Why it matters Provides independent data on actual test utilization and reimbursement trends for GeneSight, reflecting payer coverage and ASP. Signal to watch Sustained or increasing average reimbursement per GeneSight test. Confidence: High |
| Precise MRD MolDX Submission and Commercial Expansion for Breast, Colorectal, and Renal Cancers | Timely MolDX submissions and successful commercial expansion are crucial for Myriad's growth in the Cancer Care Continuum, validating its strategic investments and unlocking significant market opportunities for its ultrasensitive MRD test. This directly impacts future revenue and profitability. | Confirmation of MolDX submission for breast cancer in Q3 2026 (July 2026 submission confirmed). Watch for MolDX submissions for colorectal and renal cancers by end of 2026. Monitor early feedback on test utilization, customer experience, and turnaround times from expanded sites for breast, colorectal, and renal cancers. | Bullish: Timely MolDX submissions for all indications, positive early feedback on adoption and operational metrics from expanded sites, and increasing test utilization. Bearish: Delays in MolDX submissions, negative customer feedback, or slow adoption rates. | Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 8-K, 10-Q), and subsequent quarterly earnings calls (e.g., Q3 2026 earnings call expected November 4, 2026). | [] | 1. IQVIA / Symphony Health — Medical Claims DataMatchediqvia_medical_claims · access=file · map_only Metric/field CPT code utilization for Precise MRD (breast, colorectal, renal) Cadence monthly Why it matters Provides granular, independent data on actual test utilization, market share, and reimbursement trends for Precise MRD. Signal to watch Increasing CPT code utilization for Precise MRD tests. Confidence: High |
| AI-enhanced Prolaris Prostate Cancer Test Initial Adoption and Impact | The launch and adoption of the AI-enhanced Prolaris test are critical for Myriad to regain and expand market share in prostate cancer, leveraging AI and differentiated insights to compete effectively and contribute to the Cancer Care Continuum's growth. | Early commentary from management or clinicians on initial adoption, utility, and differentiation in Q2 2026 earnings call (July 30, 2026). Future quarterly reports for volume and revenue growth of Prolaris. The test launched on May 29, 2026 (excluding NY). | Bullish: Positive clinician feedback, early indications of market share gains or increased test utilization, and sustained mid-single-digit or higher volume/revenue growth for Prolaris. Bearish: Lukewarm clinician reception, lack of significant differentiation impacting adoption, or stagnation/decline in Prolaris volume/revenue. | Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 8-K, 10-Q), and subsequent quarterly earnings calls (e.g., Q3 2026 earnings call expected November 4, 2026). | 1. Google Trends — Search InterestNot in registry Metric/field Search term volume for 'Prolaris + AI' OR 'Myriad Prolaris AI' Cadence weekly Why it matters Indicates public and physician interest and awareness in the new AI-enhanced Prolaris test, signaling potential market adoption. Signal to watch Increasing search interest for the new test. Confidence: Medium | 1. IQVIA / Symphony Health — Medical Claims DataMatchediqvia_medical_claims · access=file · map_only Metric/field CPT code utilization for Prolaris test Cadence monthly Why it matters Provides independent data on actual test utilization and market share for Prolaris, reflecting the impact of the AI enhancement. Signal to watch Acceleration in CPT code utilization for Prolaris tests. Confidence: High |
| FirstGene Prenatal Test Full Commercial Launch and Adoption | The successful full commercial launch and adoption of FirstGene are crucial for the recovery of Myriad's prenatal health segment, which experienced a significant decline. Its differentiated offering is expected to drive market share recapture and expansion. | Specific announcement of the full commercial launch date in H2 2026 (July 21, 2026, full commercial launch confirmed). Management commentary on initial customer wins, account reactivation, and volume trends in subsequent earnings calls. Updates on CONNECTOR study enrollment and assay performance. | Bullish: On-time full commercial launch, strong initial adoption rates, positive customer feedback, and clear signs of market share recapture or expansion, leading to positive year-over-year growth in prenatal revenue. Bearish: Delays in full commercial launch, slow adoption, or continued weakness in the prenatal segment despite the launch. | Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 8-K, 10-Q), and subsequent quarterly earnings calls (e.g., Q3 2026 earnings call expected November 4, 2026). | [] | 1. IQVIA / Symphony Health — Medical Claims DataMatchediqvia_medical_claims · access=file · map_only Metric/field CPT code utilization for prenatal screening tests, specifically FirstGene Cadence monthly Why it matters Provides independent data on actual test utilization and market share for FirstGene, indicating its adoption and impact on the prenatal segment. Signal to watch Increasing CPT code utilization for FirstGene, leading to a turnaround in prenatal revenue. Confidence: High |
| Hereditary Cancer Testing Volume Growth (Unaffected Population) | This segment is Myriad's 'profit engine' and a key driver for overall revenue growth and investment capacity. Continued strong growth validates the focused sales strategy and market penetration, crucial for achieving full-year guidance. | Year-over-year volume growth rates in the unaffected population in Q2 2026 (6% Y/Y volume growth in Cancer Care Continuum, which includes hereditary cancer, reported in Q2 2026) and subsequent quarterly earnings reports. Specific commentary on the impact of the newly dedicated sales force (started April 1st, 2026). | Bullish: Continued Y/Y volume growth in the mid-to-high teens (e.g., 15% or higher) or acceleration beyond Q1 2026 levels (16% for unaffected population). Bearish: Deceleration in Y/Y volume growth below 16%, suggesting challenges in commercial execution or market saturation. | Company press releases, SEC filings (Form 8-K, 10-Q), and subsequent quarterly earnings calls (e.g., Q3 2026 earnings call expected November 4, 2026). | [] | 1. IQVIA / Symphony Health — Medical Claims DataMatchediqvia_medical_claims · access=file · map_only Metric/field CPT code utilization for hereditary cancer testing in unaffected population Cadence monthly Why it matters Provides independent data on actual test utilization and market share for hereditary cancer testing, particularly in the unaffected population. Signal to watch Sustained or accelerating growth in CPT code utilization for hereditary cancer tests in the unaffected population. Confidence: High |