Home / Themes / Global Broadcasting '24: South Asian Broadcasters

Global Broadcasting '24: South Asian Broadcasters (open on stockthemes)

Last updated

Theme thesis · 2/5 sections · Tickers 0 with notes · 19 pending

Loading chart…
Loading…

Bull / Bear Details has the investment thesis and bull/bear points. Overview is monitoring guidance (hiring, forums, second-order trends, search keywords, Google Trends, datasets).

Bull / Bear Details

South Asian broadcasters are navigating a critical transition as digital platforms and OTT services rapidly gain audience and advertising share. Investment hing

Thesis

South Asian broadcasters are navigating a critical transition as digital platforms and OTT services rapidly gain audience and advertising share. Investment hinges on their ability to successfully pivot to multi-platform content delivery, monetize digital engagement, and leverage strong regional content demand amidst contracting linear TV revenues.

Bull case

  • Broadcasters are actively investing in digital-first roles and multi-platform content delivery, capitalizing on the rapid growth of premium VOD and streaming services across South and Southeast Asia. Digital advertising in India surged 44% in Jan-Jul 2026, now dominating 60% of total ad spend, offering significant new revenue streams.

  • Strong consumer demand for regional entertainment, news, and mobile video content drives opportunities for local broadcasters. The Asia-Pacific region is set to dominate the global OTT content market in 2026 with a 45.3% share, fueled by high internet/smartphone penetration and affordable streaming, making localized content a key differentiator.

  • Young, digitally-savvy populations and sustained economic growth in key South Asian economies, particularly India (projected 7.0% GDP growth in FY2026), support increasing advertising expenditure. Furthermore, AI integration into broadcasting operations and content creation is enhancing efficiency and viewer experience.

Bear case

  • The accelerated digital migration and dominance of OTT platforms continue to drive a structural decline in traditional linear TV viewership and a significant reallocation of advertising budgets. Television's share of India's content investment declined to 42% in 2025, and it holds only 26% of India's total AdEx in 2026.

  • The fragmented media landscape and proliferation of global and regional streaming services intensify competition for audience attention and premium content. This leads to rising content acquisition and production costs for broadcasters, as seen with streaming overtaking TV in India's content investment.

  • Evolving regulatory frameworks, including media copyright laws and data protection legislation, pose ongoing compliance burdens. Notably, Indonesia's new regulation (MR 9/2026) restricting social media access for children under 16, effective March 2026, highlights potential government intervention impacting digital audience engagement and monetization strategies.

Overview

Hiring Trend Watchpoints

High-performing operators in this theme are expected to show increased hiring in digital-first roles, reflecting the ongoing shift from traditional linear broadcasting to multi-platform content delivery. We should observe a rise in demand for digital content creators, social media strategists, data analysts specializing in audience engagement and programmatic advertising, and AI/ML specialists for content personalization and operational efficiency. Roles focused on developing and monetizing vernacular content across digital platforms will also be critical. Conversely, a weakening of the theme would be indicated by sustained layoffs in traditional broadcast production and linear ad sales departments, a lack of investment in digital skill sets, or a failure to adapt organizational structures to support hybrid linear and digital models. For instance, while India's TV ad spend is growing in sports, digital ad spend is growing faster, necessitating a shift in hiring for digital advertising expertise. In Indonesia and Thailand, traditional media companies are already undergoing restructuring and layoffs, while simultaneously experimenting with AI for content creation and seeking new partnerships. Pakistan's media sector also faces layoffs and a push towards digital-first models amid economic and legal pressures.

Forum Watchlist

  • Professional Association/Forum — SAARC Journalist ForumHigh

    Discussions on press freedom, regional media cooperation, and challenges faced by journalists in South Asia.

  • NGO/Alliance — Southeast Asian Press Alliance (SEAPA)High

    Advocacy for press freedom and freedom of expression in Southeast Asia, monitoring regulatory changes and journalist safety.

  • Academic/Professional Association — Southeast Asian Media Studies Association (SEAMSA)Medium

    Research and academic discussions on media industries, practices, and cultures in Southeast Asia.

  • Online Community — Reddit (e.g., r/India, r/Pakistan, r/Philippines, r/Indonesia, r/Thailand, r/Malaysia)Medium

    Public sentiment, discussions on local media content, news consumption habits, and emerging media trends.

  • Niche Community/Social Media Group — Digital TV Philippines (Facebook Groups)Low

    Consumer adoption of digital TV, local channel discussions, and impact of analog switch-off.

Industry Publications

  • ContentAsia (contentasia.tv) — Provides in-depth news, analysis, and data on the media and entertainment industry across Asia, with a strong focus on broadcasting and streaming trends in the region.
  • Himal Southasian (himalsouthasian.com) — An independent regional magazine offering critical news, analysis, and stories from across the South Asian subcontinent, covering media and cultural shifts.
  • Marketing-Interactive (marketing-interactive.com) — A leading source for advertising, marketing, and media news in Asia, covering key markets like Singapore and Malaysia, and providing insights into ad spend and media strategies.
  • Pickle Media (picklenews.com) — India's dedicated media and entertainment trade publication, offering insights into the Indian M&E sector, including broadcasting, digital media, and content production.
  • The Jakarta Post (thejakartapost.com) — Indonesia's leading English-language newspaper, providing comprehensive coverage of national news, politics, business, and societal trends affecting the media landscape.

Second Order Trends

Several second-order trends are reshaping the South Asian broadcasting landscape. The **accelerated digital migration and OTT dominance** continues, with traditional TV revenues contracting while premium Video-on-Demand (VOD) and streaming services experience rapid growth across Southeast Asia and India. This shift is driving advertising spend away from linear TV towards digital platforms, particularly mobile in-app and video advertising. Another significant trend is the **increasing integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI)** in content creation, editing, and operational workflows within newsrooms in countries like Indonesia and Thailand, raising questions about ethical boundaries and misinformation. The rise of **vernacular content and mobile-first consumption** is also prominent, with regional language content showing higher growth rates and engagement, especially in South Asia, influencing content strategies and distribution models. Furthermore, the **evolving regulatory landscape** includes ongoing analog switch-off deadlines in the Philippines, discussions on copyright reform for journalistic works in Indonesia, and the development of new regulatory roadmaps for digital TV in Thailand. Finally, the **growth of the creator economy and influencer marketing** is challenging traditional media for audience attention and advertising revenue, prompting broadcasters to explore new partnerships and diversified content offerings.

Search Keywords Brand Product

  • RCTI
  • SCTV
  • Zee TV
  • GMA Network
  • CNN-News18
  • Sun TV
  • TV3 Malaysia
  • Channel 3 Thailand
  • Astro Malaysia
  • one31
  • Radio Mirchi
  • HUM TV
  • NDTV
  • Aaj Tak
  • Workpoint TV
  • MONOMAX
  • Radio City
  • ANTV
  • tvOne
  • Vidio
  • South Asian broadcasting industry
  • Southeast Asian television market
  • Indian media advertising trends
  • digital TV transition Philippines
  • Indonesia media regulation
  • Thailand broadcasting challenges
  • Pakistan media freedom
  • regional language content Asia
  • streaming services South Asia

Search Keywords Policy Regulatory

  • Digital Terrestrial Television
  • analog switch-off Philippines
  • broadcasting bill Indonesia
  • media copyright law
  • press freedom Pakistan
  • NBTC digital TV roadmap Thailand
  • Personal Data Protection Law Indonesia

Search Keywords Event Phrases

  • International Media Summit South Asia
  • Bhartiya Patrakarita Mahotsav
  • Philippines Analog Switch-Off
  • NAB Show Asia

Google Trend Product Category Intent

• watch Indian TV online • Southeast Asian dramas streaming • live news streaming India • Filipino TV shows app • Thai entertainment apps • Pakistani news live stream • regional language movies online

Google Trend Consumer Intent

• South Asian entertainment trends • Indian reality TV shows • regional content creators • mobile video consumption Asia • digital media trends South Asia • best streaming services Asia

Google Trend Macro Policy Terms

• media regulation India • broadcasting policy Indonesia • digital rights Pakistan • internet censorship Southeast Asia • digital advertising laws Asia

Economic Data Watch

1. Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation (MoSPI) India / World Bank — Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Not in registry

Metric/field India, GDP growth (annual %)

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters Reflects overall economic health, directly impacting corporate advertising budgets and consumer disposable income for subscriptions in a major market for theme members.

Signal to watch Accelerating growth is positive.

Confidence: high

2. Bank Indonesia / Statistics Indonesia (BPS) — Retail Sales Index / Growth

Not in registry

Metric/field Indonesia, Retail Sales Growth, YoY %

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Strong indicator of consumer spending, which drives advertising demand from consumer goods companies, relevant for Indonesian broadcasters.

Signal to watch Increasing growth is positive.

Confidence: high

3. Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) — Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Not in registry

Metric/field Malaysia, Consumer Price Index, YoY % Change

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Inflation impacts operating costs for broadcasters and consumer purchasing power for subscriptions and advertised goods in Malaysia.

Signal to watch Stable or declining inflation is positive.

Confidence: medium

4. Media Agency Association of Thailand (MAAT) / Nielsen Thailand — Total Advertising Spend

Matched (medium)guideline_advertising_spend · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Thailand, Total Advertising Spend, YoY % Change (across all media, with focus on TV)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Direct measure of the health of the advertising market, which is the primary revenue source for many Thai theme members.

Signal to watch Increasing spend is positive.

Confidence: high

5. Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) / World Bank — National Accounts, Household Final Consumption Expenditure (HFCE)

Not in registry

Metric/field Philippines, Household Final Consumption Expenditure, YoY % Change

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters Represents overall consumer spending, which underpins advertising demand and potential for subscription growth in the Philippines.

Signal to watch Accelerating growth is positive.

Confidence: high

Free Alt Data Watch

1. Google — Google Trends

Not in registry

Metric/field Search interest for major TV channels/broadcasters (e.g., 'RCTI', 'SCTV', 'Zee TV', 'GMA Network', 'Channel 3', 'TV3', 'HUM TV') - indexed value by country

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Indicates general public interest and engagement with major broadcasting brands, reflecting audience mindshare and content relevance.

Signal to watch Increasing or stable search interest is positive.

Confidence: medium

2. Twitter/X (public API data) — Social Media Mentions

Not in registry

Metric/field Daily count of mentions and sentiment score for official broadcaster handles and popular show hashtags (e.g., @ZEEL_Official, @mnctvofficial, #GMANews)

Cadence daily

Why it matters Real-time gauge of public perception, buzz around content, and audience reaction to news/shows, influencing viewership.

Signal to watch Increasing positive sentiment and mentions are positive.

Confidence: medium

3. YouTube (public channel statistics) — YouTube Analytics (public view)

Not in registry

Metric/field Monthly subscriber growth and average daily views for official YouTube channels of major broadcasters (e.g., 'Zee TV', 'RCTI - LAYAR DRAMA INDONESIA', 'GMA Network')

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Reflects digital content consumption and the broadcaster's success in extending reach beyond linear TV, indicating digital engagement.

Signal to watch Increasing subscribers and views are positive.

Confidence: high

4. SimilarWeb (free tier) — Website Analytics (Free)

Matched (medium)similarweb_app_mobile_digital_behavior · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Global and country rank for major broadcaster domains (e.g., mncn.tv, sctv.co.id, zeetv.com, gmanetwork.com, tv3.com.my, ch3thailand.com, hum.tv)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Indicates digital engagement with the broadcaster's online presence, important for news, supplementary content, and brand visibility.

Signal to watch Improving (lower) rank is positive.

Confidence: medium

5. Google Play Store / Apple App Store (public charts) — App Rankings

Not in registry

Metric/field Daily ranking of key broadcaster streaming apps (e.g., 'RCTI+', 'Vidio', 'Zee5', 'GMA Network App', 'Astro GO', 'Ch3Plus') in Entertainment category (by country)

Cadence daily

Why it matters Direct measure of adoption and popularity of broadcaster's digital streaming/content apps, reflecting their digital strategy success.

Signal to watch Higher (lower number) ranking is positive.

Confidence: high

Paid Alt Data Watch

1. Nielsen / BARC India / Kantar Media — TV Audience Measurement

Matched (medium)kantar_media_audience_measurement · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Weekly average TVR (Television Rating) / GRP (Gross Rating Point) for key channels and overall market share by broadcaster group in target demographics (e.g., 15-49 urban)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters The most direct and critical measure of linear TV audience engagement, directly impacting advertising rates and revenue for broadcasters.

Signal to watch Increasing ratings and market share are positive.

Confidence: high

2. Kantar Media / AdIntel / Nielsen Ad Intel — Advertising Expenditure Tracking

Matched (medium)kantar_media_advertising_spend · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Monthly TV advertising spend by category/brand on specific broadcaster channels and estimated average ad spot pricing (e.g., 30-second spot cost)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Provides granular insight into advertising revenue trends, competitive landscape, and pricing power within the broadcasting sector.

Signal to watch Increasing ad volume and pricing are positive.

Confidence: high

3. Sensor Tower / App Annie (data.ai) — Mobile App Intelligence

Matchedsensor_tower_mobile_advertising_intelligence · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Daily Active Users (DAU), Monthly Active Users (MAU), and average session duration for key broadcaster streaming apps (e.g., RCTI+, Vidio, Zee5, Astro GO, Ch3Plus) by country

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Measures the success and engagement of digital streaming platforms, a growing revenue stream and strategic focus for many broadcasters.

Signal to watch Increasing DAU/MAU and session duration are positive.

Confidence: high

4. SimilarWeb Pro / Comscore — Web Analytics

Matched (medium)similarweb_website_traffic_engagement · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Monthly unique visitors, total page views, and average time on site for key broadcaster websites (e.g., mncn.tv, sctv.co.id, zeetv.com, gmanetwork.com)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Offers deeper insights into digital audience reach and engagement beyond linear TV, especially for news and supplementary content.

Signal to watch Increasing unique visitors and page views are positive.

Confidence: medium

5. YouGov / Statista Consumer Insights / GfK — Consumer Surveys (Media & Entertainment)

Not in registry

Metric/field Quarterly survey data on consumer intent to subscribe to specific streaming services/pay-TV platforms, preferred content genres, and media consumption habits in target South Asian markets

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters Offers forward-looking insights into consumer behavior, potential for subscription growth, and content strategy effectiveness for broadcasters.

Signal to watch Increasing subscription intent and preference for broadcaster's content are positive.

Confidence: medium

Prediction Market Watch

Theme Plain English
This theme captures publicly listed companies primarily engaged in linear television broadcasting, including free-to-air and subscription models, across South and Southeast Asia. These entities generate revenue from television advertising, content production, and associated subscription services, navigating a dynamic media landscape increasingly influenced by digital transformation and competition from streaming platforms.

Constituents

  • 4502.KLSET3
    · no notes yet
  • 6399.KLSET3
    · no notes yet
  • BEC.BKT3
    · no notes yet
  • ENIL.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • GMA7.PSET3
    · no notes yet
  • HUMNL.KART3
    · no notes yet
  • MNCN.JKT3
    · no notes yet
  • MONO.BKT3
    · no notes yet
  • NDTV.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • NETWORK18.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • ONEE.BKT3
    · no notes yet
  • RADIOCITY.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • SCMA.JKT3
    · no notes yet
  • SUNTV.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • TVTODAY.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • VIVA.JKT3
    · no notes yet
  • WORK.BKT3
    · no notes yet
  • ZEEL.NST3
    · no notes yet
  • ZEEMEDIA.NST3
    · no notes yet