Home / Themes / Global Broadcasting '24: Japan & Korea Broadcasters

Global Broadcasting '24: Japan & Korea Broadcasters (open on stockthemes)

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Bull / Bear Details has the investment thesis and bull/bear points. Overview is monitoring guidance (hiring, forums, second-order trends, search keywords, Google Trends, datasets).

Bull / Bear Details

Japanese and Korean broadcasters are navigating a structural shift from linear television to Over-The-Top (OTT) platforms, presenting opportunities in digital c

Thesis

Japanese and Korean broadcasters are navigating a structural shift from linear television to Over-The-Top (OTT) platforms, presenting opportunities in digital content monetization and robust global demand for K-content and anime, despite ongoing declines in traditional broadcast advertising revenue.

Bull case

  • Global demand for K-content and Japanese anime continues to surge, driving content production and international distribution opportunities for broadcasters. Japanese anime captures 44% and K-dramas 35% of global viewer preferences, rivaling Hollywood's reach. The Japan entertainment and media market is projected to grow significantly, with cultural influence of anime being a key driver.

  • Accelerating digital transformation and OTT monetization strategies are enabling broadcasters to adapt to changing consumer habits. The Japan OTT platform market is expected to reach USD 56.01 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 16.75% during 2025-2033. Broadcasters are investing in streaming technologies and original programming to differentiate themselves in a competitive market.

  • Growth in online advertising revenue provides a crucial offset to declining traditional broadcast ad spend. Japan's digital advertising market is projected to grow at a 14.8% CAGR through 2026, and online advertising spending in South Korea surpassed broadcast advertising in 2024, with a projected rise of 6.1% in 2025. OTT platforms are increasingly gaining ground as advertising vehicles.

Bear case

  • The accelerating shift from traditional linear television to OTT and streaming services is leading to a persistent decline in traditional broadcast advertising revenue and viewership. Broadcast advertising spending in South Korea was down 5.0% in 2024 and is expected to fall by 13.8% in 2025. Japan's broadcasting industry market sales saw a slight decrease in 2022.

  • Intense competition from global streaming services and local OTT platforms poses a significant threat to market share and content acquisition. The pay broadcasting market in South Korea is experiencing stagnant growth due to competitive pressure from OTT services. Global players like Netflix and Disney+ are reshaping viewing habits and challenging traditional broadcast models.

  • Evolving regulatory and policy landscapes in both Japan and South Korea introduce uncertainties and potential operational constraints. South Korea is enforcing revised regulations to strengthen penalties against false information and has new AI Act provisions. Japan is lifting a ban on regional commercial TV mergers, which could lead to consolidation and competitive shifts. Debates around universal viewing rights for major sports events also continue.

Overview

Hiring Trend Watchpoints

High-performing operators in this theme are expected to increase hiring in roles focused on digital transformation and content monetization. This includes specialists in OTT platform management, digital advertising sales, data analytics for audience engagement, and multi-platform content production (especially for streaming and social media). We should also see demand for AI/ML engineers to enhance content recommendation and targeted advertising. A strengthening theme would show increased investment in creative talent for K-drama and anime production, alongside roles for international content distribution and localization. Conversely, a weakening theme might exhibit hiring freezes in traditional broadcast operations, a decline in advertising sales roles, or a lack of investment in new digital skill sets, indicating a failure to adapt to evolving consumption patterns.

Forum Watchlist

  • Reddithigh

    Discussions on popular K-dramas, new releases, fan theories, and sentiment towards Korean broadcasters' content.

  • Reddithigh

    Trends in Japanese anime consumption, discussions on new series, streaming platform preferences, and overall fan engagement.

  • Forummedium

    Detailed discussions on anime and manga, user reviews, and community sentiment regarding Japanese content.

  • Forummedium

    Recaps, reviews, and open thread discussions on Korean dramas, indicating content popularity and critical reception.

  • Forummedium

    Discussions on K-pop, K-drama, and general Korean entertainment news and trends.

Industry Publications

  • Korea Communications Commission (KCC) Reports (kcc.go.kr) — Publishes annual surveys and reports on the domestic broadcasting industry and advertising market in South Korea, offering crucial market size, revenue, and trend data.
  • Dentsu Inc. Advertising Expenditures in Japan (dentsu.co.jp) — Provides comprehensive annual analysis of advertising spending in Japan, including breakdowns by media type (internet, broadcast), crucial for tracking revenue shifts.
  • Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism (reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk) — Offers insights into the Japanese media landscape, including challenges faced by broadcasters, digital transformation, and shifts in news consumption.
  • The Korea Times (koreatimes.co.kr) — Covers the 'K-content' boom, cultural industry growth, and related policy developments in South Korea, providing context on content export and global influence.
  • Chosunbiz / Seoul Economic Daily (biz.chosun.com / sedaily.com) — Leading South Korean business news outlets that frequently report on the domestic broadcasting and advertising markets, including online vs. traditional media trends.

Second Order Trends

The most significant second-order trend is the accelerating shift from traditional linear television to Over-The-Top (OTT) and streaming services in both Japan and South Korea, driven by changing consumer viewing habits and demand for on-demand, personalized content.. This is leading to a decline in traditional broadcast advertising revenue, while online advertising, particularly video and social advertising, is experiencing robust growth.. Broadcasters are increasingly diversifying into content production for global platforms and licensing their intellectual property (IP), especially for popular K-content (K-drama, K-pop, webtoons) and Japanese anime, which continue to gain international traction.. Furthermore, the integration of AI and automation in content creation, ad targeting, and campaign optimization is becoming critical for efficiency and competitive advantage.. In South Korea, new regulations targeting 'fake news' are impacting online content publishers and social media platforms, potentially influencing content moderation and journalistic practices..

Search Keywords Brand Product

  • tvN
  • Mnet
  • OCN
  • tvN SPORTS
  • SKY PerfecTV
  • BS11
  • WOWOW
  • TVer
  • KORTV
  • Kocowa
  • OnDemandKorea
  • Jme TV
  • NHK ONE
  • U-Next
  • Japanese broadcasting industry
  • Korean television market
  • Japan media trends
  • South Korea media landscape
  • OTT Japan
  • OTT Korea
  • streaming services Japan
  • streaming services Korea
  • K-content growth
  • anime industry Japan
  • K-drama production
  • Japan advertising market
  • South Korea advertising market

Search Keywords Policy Regulatory

  • South Korea fake news law
  • Korea Communications Act amendment
  • Japan Broadcasting Act revision
  • media content regulation Korea
  • online content regulation Japan

Search Keywords Event Phrases

  • South Korea Communications Act enforcement

Google Trend Product Category Intent

• K-drama streaming • Japanese anime online • live Korean TV • live Japanese TV • Korean variety shows streaming • Japanese news online • pay-TV Japan • satellite TV Korea

Google Trend Consumer Intent

• best K-dramas • new anime releases • Japanese TV shows • Korean entertainment news • what to watch Japan • what to watch Korea • K-pop shows

Google Trend Macro Policy Terms

• South Korea media censorship • Japan broadcasting policy

Economic Data Watch

1. FRED — Retail Sales: All Industries for Japan

Not in registryaccess=api

Metric/field JPNNRTLSA

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Retail sales directly reflect consumer spending power, which influences advertising budgets for consumer-facing businesses, a primary revenue source for broadcasters.

Signal to watch Rising retail sales indicate stronger consumer demand and potentially higher advertising spend, positive for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

2. FRED — Retail Sales, South Korea

Not in registryaccess=api

Metric/field KORRETAILSA

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Similar to Japan, South Korea's retail sales data provides insight into consumer spending trends, directly impacting advertising revenue for Korean broadcasters.

Signal to watch Increasing retail sales suggest a robust consumer market, likely leading to increased advertising investment by companies, beneficial for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

3. FRED — Gross Domestic Product, Japan

Not in registryaccess=api

Metric/field JPNRGDPQ (Year-over-Year Percentage Change)

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters Overall economic growth in Japan is a key driver of corporate profitability and confidence, which in turn dictates advertising expenditure and consumer discretionary spending on entertainment.

Signal to watch Accelerating GDP growth signals a healthier economy, often translating to higher corporate advertising budgets and consumer engagement with media, positive for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

4. FRED — Gross Domestic Product, South Korea

Not in registryaccess=api

Metric/field KORGDPRQ (Year-over-Year Percentage Change)

Cadence quarterly

Why it matters South Korea's GDP growth reflects the general economic health of the country, influencing corporate advertising decisions and consumer capacity for pay-TV subscriptions and entertainment.

Signal to watch Stronger GDP growth indicates a more vibrant economy, typically leading to increased advertising activity and consumer spending on media services, beneficial for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

5. FRED — Consumer Confidence Index: All Households for Japan

Not in registryaccess=api

Metric/field JPNCIC

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Consumer confidence directly impacts discretionary spending and willingness to engage with advertising, affecting both ad revenue and subscription uptake for Japanese broadcasters.

Signal to watch An improving consumer confidence index suggests greater optimism about future economic conditions, potentially leading to higher consumer spending and increased advertising, positive for broadcasters.

Confidence: medium

Free Alt Data Watch

1. Google Trends — Search Interest

Not in registry

Metric/field Search Interest Index for 'テレビ広告 日本' (TV advertising Japan)

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Provides a proxy for public and industry interest in TV advertising in Japan, indicating potential shifts in advertising sentiment and activity.

Signal to watch Rising search interest suggests increasing attention on TV advertising, potentially indicating growing investment or strategic focus, positive for Japanese broadcasters.

Confidence: medium

2. Google Trends — Search Interest

Not in registry

Metric/field Search Interest Index for 'TV 광고 한국' (TV advertising South Korea)

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Similar to Japan, this metric gauges the level of interest in TV advertising within South Korea, reflecting potential trends in the advertising market.

Signal to watch An upward trend in search interest implies heightened focus on TV advertising, which could translate to increased ad spending, positive for Korean broadcasters.

Confidence: medium

3. YouTube Data API (Free Tier) — Trending Videos (Japan)

Not in registry

Metric/field viewCount of top 10 videos in 'Entertainment' category

Cadence daily

Why it matters Indicates popular content and audience engagement trends in Japan, which can signal competition or areas of interest for traditional broadcasters and their content strategies.

Signal to watch Higher view counts and sustained popularity of entertainment content suggest strong audience demand, potentially indicating opportunities or competitive pressures for broadcasters.

Confidence: low

4. YouTube Data API (Free Tier) — Trending Videos (South Korea)

Not in registry

Metric/field viewCount of top 10 videos in 'Entertainment' category

Cadence daily

Why it matters Reflects current content consumption patterns and audience preferences in South Korea, offering insights into popular genres and potential shifts in viewership.

Signal to watch Increased engagement with trending entertainment videos can highlight evolving audience tastes, which broadcasters can leverage for programming or content acquisition, or face as competition.

Confidence: low

5. SimilarWeb (Free Tier) — Website Traffic Rank

Matchedsimilarweb_website_traffic_engagement · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Global Rank for tbs.co.jp (TBS Holdings, Japan)

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Website traffic rank for a major Japanese broadcaster's online presence can indicate digital engagement and brand strength, supplementing traditional viewership data.

Signal to watch An improving global rank suggests increasing online visibility and audience interest in the broadcaster's digital offerings, positive for overall brand health and potential digital ad revenue.

Confidence: low

Paid Alt Data Watch

1. Video Research Ltd. — Household Audience Rating (HH AR)

Not in registry

Metric/field Prime Time (Japan, Tokyo Area, Commercial Broadcasters Average)

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Directly measures the reach and engagement of television broadcasts, which is fundamental to advertising pricing and revenue for Japanese broadcasters.

Signal to watch Sustained or increasing average audience ratings indicate strong viewership, supporting higher advertising rates and demonstrating content effectiveness, positive for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

2. AGB Nielsen Media Research — Household Audience Rating (HH AR)

Not in registry

Metric/field Prime Time (South Korea, National, Commercial Broadcasters Average)

Cadence weekly

Why it matters Provides critical insights into the performance of television content and channels in South Korea, directly influencing advertising sales and market share.

Signal to watch Consistent or growing average audience ratings signify robust viewership, which can lead to increased advertising demand and premium pricing, positive for broadcasters.

Confidence: high

3. Kantar Media — Total TV Advertising Spend

Matchedkantar_media_advertising_spend · access=file · map_only

Metric/field Japan, by Advertiser Category

Cadence irregular

Why it matters Offers granular data on advertising expenditure across different industries, providing a direct measure of the health of the Japanese TV advertising market.

Signal to watch Rising total TV advertising spend, particularly across key advertiser categories, indicates a strong advertising market and increased revenue potential for Japanese broadcasters.

Confidence: high

4. Nielsen Ad Intel — Total TV Advertising Spend

Not in registry

Metric/field South Korea, by Advertiser Category

Cadence monthly

Why it matters Tracks advertising investment by various sectors in South Korea, giving a clear picture of the overall advertising market's vitality and its impact on broadcaster revenue.

Signal to watch An upward trend in total TV advertising spend, especially from major advertiser categories, signals a healthy advertising environment and higher revenue prospects for Korean broadcasters.

Confidence: high

5. Sensor Tower — Mobile App Performance

Not in registry

Metric/field Daily Active Users (DAU) - TVer App (Japan)

Cadence daily

Why it matters TVer is a key streaming platform for major Japanese broadcasters. Tracking its DAU provides insight into the digital consumption of broadcast content and potential for digital ad revenue.

Signal to watch Increasing DAU for the TVer app suggests growing digital engagement with broadcast content, indicating successful adaptation to streaming trends and potential for diversified revenue streams, positive for Japanese broadcasters.

Confidence: medium

Prediction Market Watch

Theme Plain English
This theme captures publicly traded Japanese and South Korean companies primarily engaged in terrestrial, satellite, and pay-TV broadcasting, advertising, and content distribution. It focuses on traditional broadcasters navigating the evolving media landscape, including the shift to digital streaming, the global rise of K-content and anime, and changes in advertising revenue models, offering exposure to the economics of media consumption in these key Asian markets.

Constituents

  • 033830.KQT3
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  • 034120.KOT3
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  • 035760.KQT3
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  • 039340.KQT3
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  • 040300.KQT3
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  • 053210.KOT3
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  • 058400.KQT3
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  • 4676.TT3
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  • 4839.TT3
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  • 9401.TT3
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  • 9402.NT3
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  • 9404.TT3
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  • 9405.TT3
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  • 9407.FT3
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  • 9408.TT3
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  • 9409.TT3
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  • 9412.TT3
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  • 9413.TT3
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  • 9414.TT3
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