| Freeport-McMoRan's Grasberg Block Cave is targeting a recovery to approximately 60,000 tonnes per day in the second half of 2026, following material handling bottlenecks. Full resolution of these issues is anticipated by mid-2027. | H2 2026 for production target, full resolution by mid-2027 | 2026-07-01 | 2027-06-30 | The Grasberg mine is a world-class, high-grade copper and gold asset. Its operational recovery is critical for global copper supply and directly impacts FCX's production volumes and profitability, with significant read-through for overall market supply dynamics. | Theme | theme_composer | FCX | 1 | 0.0025 | 1.18 | 0.92 | Regulatory/Policy, Conference/Council | 1.62 | 0.4317 | 2026-10-23 | False | 1 | 0.0217 | 3.819 | theme_composer | Theme composer | | |
| Freeport-McMoRan is scaling its U.S. innovative leach initiative, utilizing advanced additives and heated solutions, with a target of 300-400 million pounds per annum by 2026-2027. | Throughout 2026-2027 | 2026-01-01 | 2027-12-31 | This initiative represents a low-cost brownfield expansion opportunity, unlocking significant value from existing stockpiles and improving U.S. copper production. Successful scaling could substantially increase FCX's output and enhance its cost position, contributing to global supply. | Theme | theme_composer | FCX | 1 | 0.0021 | 1.18 | 0.85 | Conference/Council | 1.2 | 0.25 | 2026-10-23 | False | 1 | 0.0217 | 2.6136 | theme_composer | Theme composer | | |
| KGHM's Sierra Gorda mine is undergoing an expansion project in October 2026, targeting approximately 20% higher copper production through additional grinding capacity. | October 2026 | 2026-10-01 | 2026-10-31 | Increased production from Sierra Gorda, a significant international asset for KGHM, directly contributes to global copper supply. Successful execution of this expansion demonstrates the ability of established mines to increase output, which is crucial given the theme's focus on scarcity. | Theme | theme_composer | KGH.WAR | 1 | 0.0005 | 1.18 | 1.05 | Economic, Conference/Council | 1.5 | 0.096 | 2026-10-23 | False | 1 | 0.0036 | 0.67 | theme_composer | Theme composer | | |
| Alcoa is awaiting ministerial approval for its Western Australia mine plan, expected by year-end 2026. | By year-end 2026 | 2026-10-23 | 2026-12-31 | Securing this approval is vital for Alcoa's long-term bauxite supply and operational continuity in a key region for its alumina segment. Delays or new regulatory hurdles could impact future aluminum production, affecting the 'electrification metals' aspect of the theme. | Theme | theme_composer | AA | 1 | 0.0002 | 1.18 | 1.0 | Regulatory/Policy | 1.35 | 0.0392 | 2026-10-23 | False | 1 | 0.0024 | 0.3761 | theme_composer | Theme composer | | |
| Ministerial approvals for Alcoa's mine operations in Western Australia. | by year-end 2026 | 2026-10-01 | 2026-12-31 | Secures long-term bauxite supply and operational continuity for Alcoa, impacting long-term valuation and sentiment. Delays would be bearish. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_d8bfdf52 | 2026-04-16 |
| Finalization of terms and announcement of monetization for the Massena East smelter site for a data center project, and progress on two other idled sites. | later in the process (Massena East), progressing two other sites in parallel | 2026-04-24 | 2027-04-24 | Monetization of idled assets can generate non-operating income, improve capital efficiency, and contribute to the balance sheet, positively impacting valuation and investor sentiment. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_6cec3253 | 2026-04-16 |
| Announcement or changes in Guinea's bauxite export policy. | now closely watching for the next directional signal | 2026-04-24 | 2026-12-31 | Guinea is a major bauxite supplier; changes in its export policy could impact global bauxite supply and prices, affecting Alcoa's bauxite costs and Alumina segment margins. | Theme | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_1f609147 | 2026-04-16 |
| Actual global aluminum demand growth, particularly in ex-China markets, and the impact of the Middle East conflict on this trajectory. | sequentially this year | 2026-04-24 | 2026-12-31 | Stronger demand would support aluminum prices and Alcoa's Aluminum segment profitability, while a further slowdown due to the conflict would be a headwind. | Theme | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_b25c2a19 | 2026-04-16 |
| Finalization of agreements with Japanese, Australian, and U.S. governments for the gallium project in Western Australia. | will progress... successfully | 2026-04-24 | 2027-04-24 | Successful progression could unlock new revenue streams and strategic value from critical minerals, enhancing Alcoa's portfolio and potentially attracting government support. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_25358db3 | 2026-04-16 |
| Alcoa reaching its target net debt level ($1 billion to $1.5 billion) and announcing subsequent capital allocation plans (e.g., increased shareholder returns, growth investments). | continue to delever and get into that range, over time working capital should come back out and into cash | 2026-04-24 | 2027-04-24 | Achieving the debt target provides financial flexibility, potentially leading to increased shareholder returns or value-creating growth opportunities, boosting investor sentiment. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_1121d817 | 2026-04-16 |
| Alcoa's decision regarding the restart of the fourth line at its Warrick smelter, considering capital requirements, electricity availability, and operational feasibility. | one to two years for that restart | 2026-04-24 | 2028-04-24 | A restart would add 50,000 tons of aluminum capacity, increasing production and revenue, especially in a tight market. However, it requires significant capital and carries execution risk. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | AA (ticker) | AA_1bae68b6 | 2026-04-16 |
| Completion of modifications to ore loading infrastructure (installation of regulators/spilmenators) in Grasberg Block Cave production blocks 2 and 3 to address material handling bottlenecks and restore large-scale production. | second half of 2026 for limited production, increasing to 90,000 tonnes per day by mid-2027 as modifications are completed over the next several months | 2026-07-01 | 2027-06-30 | Successful completion will enable the ramp-up of copper and gold production at Grasberg, directly impacting FCX's sales volumes, revenues, and cash flow, particularly in 2026 and 2027. Failure or delays would negatively impact guidance and investor sentiment. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_e6d12370 | 2026-04-23 |
| Publication of results from heat trials and deployment of next-generation additives for the U.S. innovative leach initiative, and progress towards scaling production to 400 million pounds per annum. | second half of this year (2026) for results from heat trials and additive deployment. Scaling to 400 million pounds per annum next year (2027). | 2026-07-01 | 2027-12-31 | Positive results and successful scaling would significantly increase low-cost copper production from existing stockpiles, enhancing FCX's U.S. business profitability, resiliency, and long-term valuation. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_b86d35d6 | 2026-04-23 |
| Freeport-McMoRan's investment decision on the brownfield expansion project at the Bagdad mine in Arizona. | later this year (2026) | 2026-10-01 | 2026-12-31 | A positive decision would commit FCX to a major U.S. copper expansion, potentially doubling production at Bagdad and contributing to a 60% increase in U.S. copper output over several years, boosting future growth and valuation. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_b71d8216 | 2026-04-23 |
| Restart of Freeport-McMoRan's new smelter in Indonesia. | later this year (2026) | 2026-10-01 | 2026-12-31 | The restart will increase concentrate processing capacity in Indonesia, supporting higher production volumes from Grasberg as it ramps up and potentially increasing acid sales, positively impacting overall operational efficiency and revenue. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_a9fbf668 | 2026-04-23 |
| Successful installation and operation of specialized chute regulators ('spilminators') to address material handling bottlenecks caused by increased wet ore in Grasberg Block Cave production blocks 2 and 3. | second half of 2026, increasing to the 90,000 tonne per day range by mid-2027 as modifications, the ore loading infrastructure are completed over the next several months | 2026-07-01 | 2027-06-30 | Successful resolution will allow Grasberg Block Cave production to ramp up to 90,000 tonnes/day by mid-2027, restoring significant copper and gold volumes and improving FCX's overall production profile and financial results. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_20fe8cf7 | 2026-04-23 |
| Successful results from pilot tests of heated leaching solutions at Morenci and deployment of next-generation additives, leading to scaling the U.S. innovative leach initiative to 300-400 million pounds per annum by 2027 and defining a path to 800 million pounds by 2030. | This year, particularly in the second half, will be an important year as we get results from our heat trials, advance our additive deployment and work to scale next year to 400 million pounds per annum from this initiative and to define our path to 800 million pounds by as soon as 2030. | 2026-07-01 | 2027-12-31 | This initiative is a 'very high net present value project' that could 'transform our U.S. business' by unlocking significant copper volumes from existing stockpiles at low incremental costs, improving profitability and resiliency. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_00bdf764 | 2026-04-23 |
| Freeport-McMoRan's investment decision to greenlight the brownfield expansion project at its Bagdad mine in Arizona. | potentially greenlight our brownfield expansion project at our Bagdad mine in Arizona later this year. | 2026-07-01 | 2026-12-31 | This expansion is a 'major expansion project' with 'no permitting hurdles' that could double production at Bagdad, contributing significantly to FCX's U.S. copper production growth and overall value creation. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_576060c6 | 2026-04-23 |
| Restart of Freeport-McMoRan's new smelter in Indonesia, which is currently on standby status. | expected restart later this year. | 2026-07-01 | 2026-12-31 | The restart will allow FCX to process more concentrate internally, supporting the ramp-up of Grasberg production and potentially increasing acid sales, contributing to overall operational efficiency and profitability. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_62bcabee | 2026-04-23 |
| Major planned renovation of the Glogow 2 smelter. | next year | 2026-01-01 | 2026-12-31 | This renovation is expected to impact electrolytic copper production, similar to a previous maintenance that caused a 20,000-tonne decrease. The efficiency of managing this renovation and its actual impact on production volumes and costs will be material. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_38e9a510 | 2025-11-18 |
| Completion and operational availability of new technology installation at the Legnica smelter. | until the end of the next year | 2026-01-01 | 2026-12-31 | Successful implementation of this new technology is anticipated to enhance efficiency and potentially reduce operating costs at the Legnica smelter, positively influencing margins and overall financial performance. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_d8047424 | 2025-11-18 |
| Commencement of new exploration drilling in the Bytom Odrzanski region. | the next year | 2026-01-01 | 2026-12-31 | The results of this exploration are uncertain but could lead to the discovery of new copper deposits, significantly expanding KGHM's resource base and long-term production potential, thereby impacting future valuation. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_103bd771 | 2025-11-18 |
| Restart of production in Grasberg Block 1 South following ongoing derisking initiatives on surface drainage and other risk mitigation strategies. | future start-up of production block 1 south | 2027-01-01 | 2027-06-30 | The restart of PB 1 South will contribute to the overall Grasberg production profile, adding further copper and gold volumes and enhancing the long-term profitability and resource recovery from the district. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | FCX (ticker) | FCX_1e11d6e1 | 2026-04-23 |
| Deepening of the Retkow shaft. | 2028, 2029 | 2028-01-01 | 2029-12-31 | This is a critical part of the long-term deposit access program, essential for extending the life of KGHM's domestic mines and ensuring future ore extraction capacity. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_ca775c5d | 2025-11-18 |
| GG-1 shaft becoming operational for exploitation. | September '29 | 2029-09-01 | 2029-09-30 | The GG-1 shaft is part of the deposit access program, crucial for long-term mining operations and maintaining production levels in domestic assets. Its timely completion and successful integration are vital for future output. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_ca657208 | 2025-11-18 |
| Completion of the Retkow, GG-2, and Gaworzyce shafts. | Retkow will be finished in 2040, the next one in 2042, and the next one in 2044. | 2040-01-01 | 2044-12-31 | These shafts are fundamental to KGHM's long-term strategy for accessing new deposits and maintaining future production levels in its domestic operations, significantly impacting the company's long-term output and reserves. | Ticker | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | earnings_transcript | KGH.WAR (ticker) | KGH.WAR_59f6c749 | 2025-11-18 |